Suns luck
Posted: Tue May 16, 2017 5:58 pm
Does any other team have worse luck than they do? Hoping Jackson falls to 4.
I'm fine with that, but don't they have the delusion of playing Simmons at the 1?Main Event wrote:http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-mock-draft/2017/
I think Philly goes Fox so if that happens I'm cool
No. It's been quantified. Going back to 1968 when the Lord God threw a chewed-up corn cob through the roof of Veteran's Memorial Colosseum, to the coin toss that netted Neal Walk instead of Lew Alcindor, to me not having time even to get to 1969 in this post, no other team has worse luck than the Phoenix Suns.ChooChooCat wrote:Does any other team have worse luck than they do? Hoping Jackson falls to 4.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... ss_records" target="_blankMrBug708 wrote:Im not even sure they are the best to never have won in the NBA, much less all of pro sports.
The Buffalo Bills and the Minnesota Vikings say 'Hi'.ASUHATER! wrote:The Suns are, as far as I know, by far the most successful franchise in pro sports history without a title. And I doubt they get one anytime remotely soon.
RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
I kicked a hole in the Sheetrock wall of our basement with that scrub player John Paxson but that three in game six to take the lead with a few minutes to go.scumdevils86 wrote:They damn sure were in the 93 finals. Crushed my little 7 year old heart.
Yeah man you could've at least googled that before you posted it.UAEebs86 wrote:RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
1976 and 1993 say 'Hi'.
I'm not enthused, either, but if no Jackson, and they don't like upside of Tatum, what to do?ChooChooCat wrote:Yeah man you could've at least googled that before you posted it.UAEebs86 wrote:RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
1976 and 1993 say 'Hi'.
On a side note, JMark, I saw you on the other site saying the Suns are leaning towards Isaac if Jackson isn't available. If that's accurate I will never support this team until McDonough is shitcanned and Sarver sells the team. That'd be an astronomical joke.
Good points all around, I'm just far from enthused with a 3 and D guy at the #4 pick. I get what you're saying about Tatum, but I still think his ceiling is higher than Warren's lack of defense and all. I'd take Fox regardless if I could trade the Knicks or someone similar for another top 10 pick. Take Fox and if you can't figure it out draft night then figure it out later is my take. I'm certainly not advocating for Lauri either, he's certainly a back end of top 10 guy.JMarkJohns wrote:I'm not enthused, either, but if no Jackson, and they don't like upside of Tatum, what to do?ChooChooCat wrote:Yeah man you could've at least googled that before you posted it.UAEebs86 wrote:RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
1976 and 1993 say 'Hi'.
On a side note, JMark, I saw you on the other site saying the Suns are leaning towards Isaac if Jackson isn't available. If that's accurate I will never support this team until McDonough is shitcanned and Sarver sells the team. That'd be an astronomical joke.
I'd take Fox, trade Bledsoe to a team in top-10 like Knicks, and select best prospect available.
I figure if you take Fox at four after Fultz, Ball, Jackson, Sacramento will reach for Smith to secure the needed PG at 5, and if you sit at 8, you'll get one of Lauri, Tatum, Isaac. Probably Tatum or Lauri, as I've heard Isaac is linked to Timberwolves.
It's a shitty situation if Jackson isn't there. Tatum is an OK consolation price, but he brings little defense, mediocre athleticism, and a black hole style to offense. You already have that with Booker, though Booker is better at getting his teammates involved, he's still a pure scorer first of all.
Lauri doesn't exactly make sense, but he and Booker would be a killer pic/roll pairing.
To me, the top three, the best upsided players are:ChooChooCat wrote:Good points all around, I'm just far from enthused with a 3 and D guy at the #4 pick. I get what you're saying about Tatum, but I still think his ceiling is higher than Warren's lack of defense and all. I'd take Fox regardless if I could trade the Knicks or someone similar for another top 10 pick. Take Fox and if you can't figure it out draft night then figure it out later is my take. I'm certainly not advocating for Lauri either, he's certainly a back end of top 10 guy.JMarkJohns wrote:I'm not enthused, either, but if no Jackson, and they don't like upside of Tatum, what to do?ChooChooCat wrote:Yeah man you could've at least googled that before you posted it.UAEebs86 wrote:RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
1976 and 1993 say 'Hi'.
On a side note, JMark, I saw you on the other site saying the Suns are leaning towards Isaac if Jackson isn't available. If that's accurate I will never support this team until McDonough is shitcanned and Sarver sells the team. That'd be an astronomical joke.
I'd take Fox, trade Bledsoe to a team in top-10 like Knicks, and select best prospect available.
I figure if you take Fox at four after Fultz, Ball, Jackson, Sacramento will reach for Smith to secure the needed PG at 5, and if you sit at 8, you'll get one of Lauri, Tatum, Isaac. Probably Tatum or Lauri, as I've heard Isaac is linked to Timberwolves.
It's a shitty situation if Jackson isn't there. Tatum is an OK consolation price, but he brings little defense, mediocre athleticism, and a black hole style to offense. You already have that with Booker, though Booker is better at getting his teammates involved, he's still a pure scorer first of all.
Lauri doesn't exactly make sense, but he and Booker would be a killer pic/roll pairing.
I love Monk's upside. I understand all the caveats, but that guy has the "it" factor I am looking for in a pace/space system. Better than average vision, passing, and near elite shooting/scoring. Handle is only thing that separates him from being a very good prospect. And Handle, while a lot of feel, is able to be learned. He has the "feel" for the rest of the offense, so I think it happens.TucsonClip wrote:I just dont see it with Monk either (im hesitant on Isaac). I think he could turn into a really good role player, but without his creation improving I dont think he ever gets to Eric Gordon status. Not to mention ive seen his measurements all over the place (6'3" wingspan up to 6'7"). I worry as he doesnt have very good size in general (small frame, narrow hips, listed at 197) and also dont see the elite passing tools. I think he could utilize his passing better if he can create off the bounce more, primarily in PNR, but im not sold on it.
Again, I need to watch these guys more leading up to the draft, and perhaps my takes change a bit. Ive seen Monk much more than Isaac, but I wasnt enamored with either.
The one thing ill say about Monk is that you cant take scoring for granted. That dude can fill it up, so even marginal improvement in his handles, ect, would go a long way.
Huh. I thought I had googled it. Musta been the Rooskies interfering with the innertubes thingy again.ChooChooCat wrote:Yeah man you could've at least googled that before you posted it.UAEebs86 wrote:RichardCranium wrote:The Bills and the Vikings have both been to the Super Bowl FOUR TIMES without a win. The Bills did it four years on the trot - that's pretty damn consistent.
I know their regular season winning percentage is lower than the Suns, but the Suns have never been to the NBA finals.
1976 and 1993 say 'Hi'.
I think he would benefit by landing on a team who isnt going to rely on him as the #1 or #2 option early. Hopefully that allows him to progress his game a bit at a time and become more comfortable handling the ball at the point of attack.JMarkJohns wrote: I love Monk's upside. I understand all the caveats, but that guy has the "it" factor I am looking for in a pace/space system. Better than average vision, passing, and near elite shooting/scoring. Handle is only thing that separates him from being a very good prospect. And Handle, while a lot of feel, is able to be learned. He has the "feel" for the rest of the offense, so I think it happens.
The numbers lie. No team losing two coin flip chances at Kareem and Robinson, and also never securing number 1 overall ever, or who's had shitty luck with acquired picks like the Bulls unprotected 1st in 2005, and the Hawks pick in 2007/2008, and their own either staying out or sliding back recently, could ever be considered lucky.Puerco wrote:Phoenix is one of the luckiest franchises with respect to draft position:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... ery-right/
Exactly. No rational person would suggest the Suns have anything but no luck to bad luck with regards to it's owned picks that are lottery eligible.TucsonClip wrote:The way im reading it is... The Suns have been historically good in the time span measured. However, when they are bad, they are bottom five bad. There is very little middle ground. Same with the Thunder. Not the same as lottery luck, which would be measured as lottery draft position over lottery expected position, which this study does not measure. In that case, the Cavs would be waaaaaaaay up there.
Bit of misinterpretation here, IMO.
ChooChooCat wrote:Sounds like the Sixers and Celts are going to swap picks, which all but guarantees Josh Jackson going in the top 3. That would leave the Suns with the decision of Fox, Tatum, or Isaac.
Suns need to take Fox or fuck off forever. You don't pass up on franchise point guard for an athlete that's not named Josh Jackson in this draft. Draft Fox and get lunch money for Bledsoe and Knight.JMarkJohns wrote:ChooChooCat wrote:Sounds like the Sixers and Celts are going to swap picks, which all but guarantees Josh Jackson going in the top 3. That would leave the Suns with the decision of Fox, Tatum, or Isaac.
Reportedly the Celtics like Tatum. Think he's different enough from Brown where Jackson is a bit too similar.
But that's if they keep the pick.
If they trade 3 plus future 1sts and or Brown for Butler or George, then Jackson is likely gone.
I'm almost 100% certain Suns end up with Isaac.
I think they threaten Fox, force Sacramento into swapping 4 for 5 plus assets, then take Isaac.
What is your take on Ainge's trade? Did Fultz come in and not impress? Concerns over his injury? Is Ainge a much bigger fan of Tatum/Jackson and would have taken them at 1, but he decided to parlay that into another 1st round pick? Was this done because they want to lock up Thomas long term and they feel they should be looking at someone who isnt a 1 or 2?JMarkJohns wrote:ChooChooCat wrote:Sounds like the Sixers and Celts are going to swap picks, which all but guarantees Josh Jackson going in the top 3. That would leave the Suns with the decision of Fox, Tatum, or Isaac.
Reportedly the Celtics like Tatum. Think he's different enough from Brown where Jackson is a bit too similar.
But that's if they keep the pick.
If they trade 3 plus future 1sts and or Brown for Butler or George, then Jackson is likely gone.
I'm almost 100% certain Suns end up with Isaac.
I think they threaten Fox, force Sacramento into swapping 4 for 5 plus assets, then take Isaac.
The Suns are averaging a top 5-10 finish over that period and they are averaging a pick in the top 5-10 of the draft. That's absurdly lucky. The Cavs aren't far behind, they pick even higher, but they're lower finishers over that time period.JMarkJohns wrote:Exactly. No rational person would suggest the Suns have anything but no luck to bad luck with regards to it's owned picks that are lottery eligible.TucsonClip wrote:The way im reading it is... The Suns have been historically good in the time span measured. However, when they are bad, they are bottom five bad. There is very little middle ground. Same with the Thunder. Not the same as lottery luck, which would be measured as lottery draft position over lottery expected position, which this study does not measure. In that case, the Cavs would be waaaaaaaay up there.
Bit of misinterpretation here, IMO.
No they haven't. At least not recently. I can't recall a time they didn't pick in expected slot or worse.Puerco wrote:The Suns are averaging a top 5-10 finish over that period and they are averaging a pick in the top 5-10 of the draft. That's absurdly lucky. The Cavs aren't far behind, they pick even higher, but they're lower finishers over that time period.JMarkJohns wrote:Exactly. No rational person would suggest the Suns have anything but no luck to bad luck with regards to it's owned picks that are lottery eligible.TucsonClip wrote:The way im reading it is... The Suns have been historically good in the time span measured. However, when they are bad, they are bottom five bad. There is very little middle ground. Same with the Thunder. Not the same as lottery luck, which would be measured as lottery draft position over lottery expected position, which this study does not measure. In that case, the Cavs would be waaaaaaaay up there.
Bit of misinterpretation here, IMO.
Clip, point taken about lottery luck.
JMJ, there is no denying it: the Suns have picked far higher than their record & finish position should dictate. Maybe they're unlucky with reality vs. what coulda been, but the fact of the matter is that since 2001 they've gotten absurdly high picks. And. They. Have. Done. Nothing. With. Them.
Vegas has the Suns at 500-1 to win the 2018 championship. That's 5 times lower odds than the 76ers. That's also pathetic.
I figure Celts are looking for wings and this tends to make me think they like IT and Smart going forwards. Defensively, Horford, Jackson and Smart are an imposing trifecta. If they think Brown is a long term thing too, that gives them a young core with a ton of length and versatility.rgdeuce wrote:What is your take on Ainge's trade? Did Fultz come in and not impress? Concerns over his injury? Is Ainge a much bigger fan of Tatum/Jackson and would have taken them at 1, but he decided to parlay that into another 1st round pick? Was this done because they want to lock up Thomas long term and they feel they should be looking at someone who isnt a 1 or 2?JMarkJohns wrote:ChooChooCat wrote:Sounds like the Sixers and Celts are going to swap picks, which all but guarantees Josh Jackson going in the top 3. That would leave the Suns with the decision of Fox, Tatum, or Isaac.
Reportedly the Celtics like Tatum. Think he's different enough from Brown where Jackson is a bit too similar.
But that's if they keep the pick.
If they trade 3 plus future 1sts and or Brown for Butler or George, then Jackson is likely gone.
I'm almost 100% certain Suns end up with Isaac.
I think they threaten Fox, force Sacramento into swapping 4 for 5 plus assets, then take Isaac.
I figured Ainge and Stevens liked Jackson's (potential) defensive versatility, basically their own Draymond Green. I wasn't happy with the trade and I feel that letting the 76ers getting Fultz means that Philly are the ones who are set up to be huge over the next 4-6 years. I much preferred taking Fultz and I'm not a big fan of essentially building around a guy who is probably the worst defender in the league.
1. I doubt they keep the 1st, as I think they Select Tatum for immediate scoring and offensive upside and package him, Smart and future 1sts for Butler, plus Sign Hayward.Spaceman Spiff wrote:I figure Celts are looking for wings and this tends to make me think they like IT and Smart going forwards. Defensively, Horford, Jackson and Smart are an imposing trifecta. If they think Brown is a long term thing too, that gives them a young core with a ton of length and versatility.rgdeuce wrote:What is your take on Ainge's trade? Did Fultz come in and not impress? Concerns over his injury? Is Ainge a much bigger fan of Tatum/Jackson and would have taken them at 1, but he decided to parlay that into another 1st round pick? Was this done because they want to lock up Thomas long term and they feel they should be looking at someone who isnt a 1 or 2?JMarkJohns wrote:ChooChooCat wrote:Sounds like the Sixers and Celts are going to swap picks, which all but guarantees Josh Jackson going in the top 3. That would leave the Suns with the decision of Fox, Tatum, or Isaac.
Reportedly the Celtics like Tatum. Think he's different enough from Brown where Jackson is a bit too similar.
But that's if they keep the pick.
If they trade 3 plus future 1sts and or Brown for Butler or George, then Jackson is likely gone.
I'm almost 100% certain Suns end up with Isaac.
I think they threaten Fox, force Sacramento into swapping 4 for 5 plus assets, then take Isaac.
I figured Ainge and Stevens liked Jackson's (potential) defensive versatility, basically their own Draymond Green. I wasn't happy with the trade and I feel that letting the 76ers getting Fultz means that Philly are the ones who are set up to be huge over the next 4-6 years. I much preferred taking Fultz and I'm not a big fan of essentially building around a guy who is probably the worst defender in the league.
I like Fultz, but if Jackson plays to his potential, they won't regret anything but position in the trade.
The Knicks are idiots. They need to make Porzingis the face of the franchise.MrBug708 wrote:The Knicks want a top 4 pick to draft Josh Jackson and are willing to trade Porzingis for it. If I'm the Suns I do that and if the KNicks want a little more, I'd do that as well. The problem is that the Celtics would probably do it for the #3 and probably another first, if the reports are true.