It's Happening...

Moderators: UAdevil, JMarkJohns

Post Reply
MountainCat
Posts: 1320
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:08 am
Reputation: 130

It's Happening...

Post by MountainCat »

... A number one seed is about to loose to a 16 seed.

If.......the talk won't be about Arizona anymore.
No Bandwagon Here! Always a Cat!
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Just said this....." What does the perimeter action remind you of?"
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

MountainCat wrote:... A number one seed is about to loose to a 16 seed.

If.......the talk won't be about Arizona anymore.
I honestly don't know what to hope for here.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
cats101
Posts: 1035
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 12:48 pm
Reputation: 12
Location: Washington, DC

Re: It's Happening...

Post by cats101 »

This is an historic upset. My goodness I'm actually in shock.
MountainCat
Posts: 1320
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:08 am
Reputation: 130

Re: It's Happening...

Post by MountainCat »

dovecanyoncat wrote:
MountainCat wrote:... A number one seed is about to loose to a 16 seed.

If.......the talk won't be about Arizona anymore.
I honestly don't know what to hope for here.
Not hoping for anything. Just a reminder that things can get worse, just not to us this time.

Either way - enjoy this moment in history.
No Bandwagon Here! Always a Cat!
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Wow. Total fucking wow. We are no longer the bitch of the Tourney. But the system that defines us is the TOTAL BITCH of the Tourney thus far.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
Spaceman Spiff
Posts: 14664
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 7:28 am
Reputation: 1150

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Spaceman Spiff »

They're named the Retrievers for God's sake. They don't even have a real nickname.
Image
Phylek
Posts: 571
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 11:36 am
Reputation: 6

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Phylek »

I'm in shock
User avatar
AZCatGirl
Posts: 10130
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2014 1:06 pm
Reputation: 1232

Re: It's Happening...

Post by AZCatGirl »

And we beat them by 25 points back in November. :lol:
“The reality is that the hardest games to win are over teams on their home court. Teams that don’t play those games can spin it however they want, but what they’re saying is, ‘We don’t want to lose in our non conference season.’" - Sean Miller
Spaceman Spiff
Posts: 14664
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 7:28 am
Reputation: 1150

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Spaceman Spiff »

AZCatGirl wrote:And we beat them by 25 points back in November. :lol:
By the transitive property, we're now 45 points better than the overall #1 seed, so we have that going for us.
Image
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Spaceman Spiff wrote:
AZCatGirl wrote:And we beat them by 25 points back in November. :lol:
By the transitive property, we're now 45 points better than the overall #1 seed, so we have that going for us.
That's sorta like sayin you can eat relative performance in the financial world.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
cats101
Posts: 1035
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 12:48 pm
Reputation: 12
Location: Washington, DC

Re: It's Happening...

Post by cats101 »

Phylek wrote:I'm in shock
Me as well. The way Virginia played like a desperate team in the second half. The same squad that is know for discipline basketball. The 20 point loss. Yikes.
Spaceman Spiff
Posts: 14664
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 7:28 am
Reputation: 1150

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Spaceman Spiff »

dovecanyoncat wrote:
Spaceman Spiff wrote:
AZCatGirl wrote:And we beat them by 25 points back in November. :lol:
By the transitive property, we're now 45 points better than the overall #1 seed, so we have that going for us.
That's sorta like sayin you can eat relative performance in the financial world.
Look, Buffalo would beat UVA by like 100 points. It's science.
Image
User avatar
WildcatStunner
Posts: 3477
Joined: Thu Nov 27, 2014 1:07 am
Reputation: 133

Re: It's Happening...

Post by WildcatStunner »

We may have been spanked by Buffalo, but at least we weren’t a 1 losing to a 16 by 20.
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Spaceman Spiff wrote:
dovecanyoncat wrote:
Spaceman Spiff wrote:
AZCatGirl wrote:And we beat them by 25 points back in November. :lol:
By the transitive property, we're now 45 points better than the overall #1 seed, so we have that going for us.
That's sorta like sayin you can eat relative performance in the financial world.
Look, Buffalo would beat UVA by like 100 points. It's science.
I stand corrected.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
TheBuffet
Posts: 28
Joined: Tue Nov 08, 2016 8:19 pm
Reputation: 0

Re: It's Happening...

Post by TheBuffet »

ACC sucks!
User avatar
Lando05
Posts: 1140
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 3:51 pm
Reputation: 103

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Lando05 »

That packline defense has sure been successful in the big dance...
MountainCat
Posts: 1320
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:08 am
Reputation: 130

Re: It's Happening...

Post by MountainCat »

Now that it's happened - The world is banned from using the term "Cinderella" anymore.

My guess - this is the beginning of the end of the 64 team....oops I mean 68 team NCAA Tourney. Between FBI scandals, the one-n-done era, and the greed of wanting parity for all, I don't think we will recognize college basketball five years from now.
No Bandwagon Here! Always a Cat!
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Lando05 wrote:That packline defense has sure been successful in the big dance...
It's a humiliating relief.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
Andre Iguodunkya
Posts: 9
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 12:56 pm
Reputation: 8

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Andre Iguodunkya »

We are the team that beat the team that beat Virginia
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

While Euclid is correct about things that are equal, it doesn't hold otherwise.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
Spaceman Spiff
Posts: 14664
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 7:28 am
Reputation: 1150

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Spaceman Spiff »

I don't know why, but this is making me really happy.

Weeeeeeeee!!!!!!
Image
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Spaceman Spiff wrote:I don't know why, but this is making me really happy.

Weeeeeeeee!!!!!!
About the present ... yes, I concur. But as to the future I hope for the introduction of a new factor.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
Spaceman Spiff
Posts: 14664
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 7:28 am
Reputation: 1150

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Spaceman Spiff »

dovecanyoncat wrote:
Spaceman Spiff wrote:I don't know why, but this is making me really happy.

Weeeeeeeee!!!!!!
About the present ... yes, I concur. But as to the future I hope for the introduction of a new factor.
Right now, I just want to spin in circles until I cease moving and the world begins spinning around me.
Image
User avatar
dovecanyoncat
Posts: 16671
Joined: Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:16 pm
Reputation: 2122
Location: Old Farts and Golf Carts

Re: It's Happening...

Post by dovecanyoncat »

Spaceman Spiff wrote:
dovecanyoncat wrote:
Spaceman Spiff wrote:I don't know why, but this is making me really happy.

Weeeeeeeee!!!!!!
About the present ... yes, I concur. But as to the future I hope for the introduction of a new factor.
Right now, I just want to spin in circles until I cease moving and the world begins spinning around me.
I dig it: from Euclid to Copernicus. I'm down wif dat.
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.”

~ Wilhoit's Law
User avatar
CatFanOneMil
Posts: 1086
Joined: Mon Nov 21, 2016 9:54 pm
Reputation: 82

Re: It's Happening...

Post by CatFanOneMil »

Here's the thing I am thinking about...Virginia was the best defensive team BY A HUGE MARGIN according to all the analytics...

The committee had no choice but to seed them #1 based upon the criteria that they have established...

By that SAME criteria UMBC should have been seeded no higher than 16th...

We beat them by 25...they lost to fucking Stony Brook, Army, Colgate and Towson...they had TERRIBLE losses...

Now the argument can be made that they were just hot tonite, or like the Buff's "wanted it more"...

I call bullshit...

Getting hot or "wanting it more" should not translate to a 20 point win over the best seeded team in the tournament...

According to the committees metrics Virginia was the NUMBER #1 FUCKING BEST TEAM IN THE NATION...and UMBC was somewhere near the very bottom...if not the very bottom at least 3 spots from it but no higher.

If it was just this game I'd say it was a fluke...but counter in our game and trouncing we got and it points to some undeniable shenanigans going on in the metric system they are using...

Our game could have been a fluke...this game was not.

Something is waaaay off in the way they are doing this...seeding people based on who they played and nuetral sites and whatever the fuck this new quadrant system is has proven to be a clusterfuck.

And one more thing...packline defense is officially dead...the three point shot has rendered it moot and ineffective.

Lets see if Miller evolves or doubles down...

We had a slew of seniors who have probably played a TOTAL of 10 minutes of zone their entire careers...yet Duke and Calapari both use it and we might have stood a chance last night if we fucking knew more than one trick.
User avatar
CBCat
Posts: 745
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2014 8:39 pm
Reputation: 0

Re: It's Happening...

Post by CBCat »

CatFanOneMil wrote:Here's the thing I am thinking about...Virginia was the best defensive team BY A HUGE MARGIN according to all the analytics...

The committee had no choice but to seed them #1 based upon the criteria that they have established...

By that SAME criteria UMBC should have been seeded no higher than 16th...

We beat them by 25...they lost to fucking Stony Brook, Army, Colgate and Towson...they had TERRIBLE losses...

Now the argument can be made that they were just hot tonite, or like the Buff's "wanted it more"...

I call bullshit...

Getting hot or "wanting it more" should not translate to a 20 point win over the best seeded team in the tournament...

According to the committees metrics Virginia was the NUMBER #1 FUCKING BEST TEAM IN THE NATION...and UMBC was somewhere near the very bottom...if not the very bottom at least 3 spots from it but no higher.

If it was just this game I'd say it was a fluke...but counter in our game and trouncing we got and it points to some undeniable shenanigans going on in the metric system they are using...

Our game could have been a fluke...this game was not.

Something is waaaay off in the way they are doing this...seeding people based on who they played and nuetral sites and whatever the fuck this new quadrant system is has proven to be a clusterfuck.

And one more thing...packline defense is officially dead...the three point shot has rendered it moot and ineffective.

Lets see if Miller evolves or doubles down...

We had a slew of seniors who have probably played a TOTAL of 10 minutes of zone their entire careers...yet Duke and Calapari both use it and we might have stood a chance last night if we fucking knew more than one trick.
Amen to those last couple paragraphs but jeez 8 yrs now. How stubborn can a guy be? I’m still pissed
JW_in_Boston
Posts: 74
Joined: Tue Jun 17, 2014 8:16 am
Reputation: 13

Re: It's Happening...

Post by JW_in_Boston »

Doesn't zone often lead to open 3s? Anyway, glad I caught the last 3 mins, looked just like us. They were down 15 ish with 3 mins and totally gave up? Don't they know refs will let them get that back, or is that just against us? ;)
ChooChooCat
Posts: 8692
Joined: Thu Feb 12, 2015 5:47 pm
Reputation: 1152

Re: It's Happening...

Post by ChooChooCat »

CatFanOneMil wrote:Here's the thing I am thinking about...Virginia was the best defensive team BY A HUGE MARGIN according to all the analytics...

The committee had no choice but to seed them #1 based upon the criteria that they have established...

By that SAME criteria UMBC should have been seeded no higher than 16th...

We beat them by 25...they lost to fucking Stony Brook, Army, Colgate and Towson...they had TERRIBLE losses...

Now the argument can be made that they were just hot tonite, or like the Buff's "wanted it more"...

I call bullshit...

Getting hot or "wanting it more" should not translate to a 20 point win over the best seeded team in the tournament...

According to the committees metrics Virginia was the NUMBER #1 FUCKING BEST TEAM IN THE NATION...and UMBC was somewhere near the very bottom...if not the very bottom at least 3 spots from it but no higher.

If it was just this game I'd say it was a fluke...but counter in our game and trouncing we got and it points to some undeniable shenanigans going on in the metric system they are using...

Our game could have been a fluke...this game was not.

Something is waaaay off in the way they are doing this...seeding people based on who they played and nuetral sites and whatever the fuck this new quadrant system is has proven to be a clusterfuck.

And one more thing...packline defense is officially dead...the three point shot has rendered it moot and ineffective.

Lets see if Miller evolves or doubles down...

We had a slew of seniors who have probably played a TOTAL of 10 minutes of zone their entire careers...yet Duke and Calapari both use it and we might have stood a chance last night if we fucking knew more than one trick.
Who you kidding? He's going to triple down on it.
JW_in_Boston
Posts: 74
Joined: Tue Jun 17, 2014 8:16 am
Reputation: 13

Re: It's Happening...

Post by JW_in_Boston »

At least it didn't happen in our region so we won't be kicking ourselves for having a free path to the FF after beating the 5 seed in our region. Oh wait. Yeah UK gets to play at worst an 8 a 12 and a 13 to the elite eight. Tough.
Newportcat
Posts: 2439
Joined: Sat Aug 09, 2014 8:43 am
Reputation: 1

Re: It's Happening...

Post by Newportcat »

ChooChooCat wrote:
CatFanOneMil wrote:Here's the thing I am thinking about...Virginia was the best defensive team BY A HUGE MARGIN according to all the analytics...

The committee had no choice but to seed them #1 based upon the criteria that they have established...

By that SAME criteria UMBC should have been seeded no higher than 16th...

We beat them by 25...they lost to fucking Stony Brook, Army, Colgate and Towson...they had TERRIBLE losses...

Now the argument can be made that they were just hot tonite, or like the Buff's "wanted it more"...

I call bullshit...

Getting hot or "wanting it more" should not translate to a 20 point win over the best seeded team in the tournament...

According to the committees metrics Virginia was the NUMBER #1 FUCKING BEST TEAM IN THE NATION...and UMBC was somewhere near the very bottom...if not the very bottom at least 3 spots from it but no higher.

If it was just this game I'd say it was a fluke...but counter in our game and trouncing we got and it points to some undeniable shenanigans going on in the metric system they are using...

Our game could have been a fluke...this game was not.

Something is waaaay off in the way they are doing this...seeding people based on who they played and nuetral sites and whatever the fuck this new quadrant system is has proven to be a clusterfuck.

And one more thing...packline defense is officially dead...the three point shot has rendered it moot and ineffective.

Lets see if Miller evolves or doubles down...

We had a slew of seniors who have probably played a TOTAL of 10 minutes of zone their entire careers...yet Duke and Calapari both use it and we might have stood a chance last night if we fucking knew more than one trick.
Who you kidding? He's going to triple down on it.
"Do what we do do"

If Miller did not even attempt to try going to zone defense with this team, he will never do it going forward. Ever
2004 First Team All American Football Poster as voted on by GOAZCATS
User avatar
FreeSpiritCat
Posts: 4562
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 2:22 pm
Reputation: 463
Location: Augusta, Maine

Re: It's Happening...

Post by FreeSpiritCat »

This is a really good article on the advantages and disadvantages of playing slow basketball, and its strengths and vulnerabilities. It talks about the pack-line defense created by Dick Bennett (Bennett ball).
Playing slowly leaves better teams more vulnerable to upsets, said John Harris, a mathematics professor at Furman University who, with two other faculty members, has studied N.C.A.A. tournament upsets. He groups teams into “Giants” and “Killers.” The Giants are always the better team. The variable is what improves the underdogs’ chances. The answer, it turns out, is when the Giants’ giant-like qualities are minimized, because a slow pace means there is literally less basketball being played.

“Picture it in terms of an extreme case,” Harris said. “If each team had one possession, a Killer is more likely to upset a Giant. The more possessions you give a Giant, the more likely it is they’re able to separate.

“It’s the reason,” he added, “why you don’t play the World Series in one game.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/17/spor ... &smtyp=cur" target="_blank
SunnyAZ
Posts: 1040
Joined: Sun May 28, 2017 1:07 am
Reputation: 33

Re: It's Happening...

Post by SunnyAZ »

JW_in_Boston wrote:Doesn't zone often lead to open 3s? Anyway, glad I caught the last 3 mins, looked just like us. They were down 15 ish with 3 mins and totally gave up? Don't they know refs will let them get that back, or is that just against us? ;)
Yeah, like 10 years ago when that was the point of a zone. Now you can use it like Washington and try to force teams take midrange jumpers. Look at the ASU or UCLA tourney games. UCLA scored like 15 points in the 1st three minutes then the Bonnie's went zone and they scored 40 points the rest of the game. ASU got zone the whole game and didn't hit 60 points.
SunnyAZ
Posts: 1040
Joined: Sun May 28, 2017 1:07 am
Reputation: 33

Re: It's Happening...

Post by SunnyAZ »

Catintheheat wrote:This is a really good article on the advantages and disadvantages of playing slow basketball, and its strengths and vulnerabilities. It talks about the pack-line defense created by Dick Bennett (Bennett ball).
Playing slowly leaves better teams more vulnerable to upsets, said John Harris, a mathematics professor at Furman University who, with two other faculty members, has studied N.C.A.A. tournament upsets. He groups teams into “Giants” and “Killers.” The Giants are always the better team. The variable is what improves the underdogs’ chances. The answer, it turns out, is when the Giants’ giant-like qualities are minimized, because a slow pace means there is literally less basketball being played.

“Picture it in terms of an extreme case,” Harris said. “If each team had one possession, a Killer is more likely to upset a Giant. The more possessions you give a Giant, the more likely it is they’re able to separate.

“It’s the reason,” he added, “why you don’t play the World Series in one game.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/17/spor ... &smtyp=cur" target="_blank
This such an obvious point that even Charles Barkely has made it.
Post Reply