2024-25 Arizona Basketball

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Chicat
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Chicat »

TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Of the 12 coaches, Rush picked the one whose fans have the deepest passion, the longest memories, the greatest lung capacity and … did I mention deep passion?
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by pc in NM »

Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:48 pm
TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Hmmm, I thought that ADO's liability was on defense...

In those first five minutes vs ISU, who made TO's, who missed shots, etc.

As I recall on the chat, fans were complaining about "sloppy basketball".
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Chicat »

pc in NM wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:32 pm
Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:48 pm
TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Hmmm, I thought that ADO's liability was on defense...
A lot of our offense is spurred by our defense. Forced bad shots and turnovers leading to runouts is a big part of our offense. C’mon, I know you watch the games.
Of the 12 coaches, Rush picked the one whose fans have the deepest passion, the longest memories, the greatest lung capacity and … did I mention deep passion?
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Winger »

Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:46 pm
pc in NM wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:32 pm
Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:48 pm
TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Hmmm, I thought that ADO's liability was on defense...
A lot of our offense is spurred by our defense. Forced bad shots and turnovers leading to runouts is a big part of our offense. C’mon, I know you watch the games.
You’re all over and on top of this issues and it’s also complicated.

To date, statistically, taking in to account both ends of the floor, Arizona’s best lineup is: Bradley, Love, Lewis, Bryant, Veesaar.

To assess the +/- of Lloyd’s starting ADO you’d need to look at alot of things, some of which could include:

1. The team’s +/- when he goes out (i.e. he doesn’t always play the entire first 5 minutes of each half).
2. The team’s adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for those minutes in comparison to those of other lineups or the team overall.
3. What ADO specifically did during those minutes (FGA, FGM, FTA, fouls drawn and committed, boards, ast, to, etc).
4. And then you’d have to dig in to the film. Because that is the only way to decipher how many of the opposition’s buckets were “his fault”, and the opposite.

You could add some eye test as well and here I think it’s important to note that the opinion of Arizona’s fans as to which lineup is Lloyd’s best matches the statistics to date.

If we all came to the conclusion that Lloyd was not starting his best lineup we could then debate why a coach might do that.

I have been posting something slightly different however: there are opponents where Lloyd knows going in, before the game starts, that ADO has “no chance” against and he starts him regardless.

My question is: why the F does he do that?
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by pc in NM »

Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:46 pm
pc in NM wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:32 pm
Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:48 pm
TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Hmmm, I thought that ADO's liability was on defense...
A lot of our offense is spurred by our defense. Forced bad shots and turnovers leading to runouts is a big part of our offense. C’mon, I know you watch the games.
When Arizona struggles, it's primarily in the half-court offense. I don't know, but I guess that 60%-75% of FG's attempted come from half-court offense.

Anyone got data on this??

BTW, you're welcome to participate in game chats/threads in real time and point instances out.
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Chicat
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Chicat »

Winger wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 7:20 am
Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:46 pm
pc in NM wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:32 pm
Chicat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:48 pm
TheCat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:32 pm Well you and I might feel that way but someone took the time and posted the results of the first five minutes with ADO and it wasn't the reality that he is detrimental .
Except that I posted the results that we are about 15% more efficient on offense the rest of the game, so he may in fact be detrimental.
Hmmm, I thought that ADO's liability was on defense...
A lot of our offense is spurred by our defense. Forced bad shots and turnovers leading to runouts is a big part of our offense. C’mon, I know you watch the games.
You’re all over and on top of this issues and it’s also complicated.

To date, statistically, taking in to account both ends of the floor, Arizona’s best lineup is: Bradley, Love, Lewis, Bryant, Veesaar.

To assess the +/- of Lloyd’s starting ADO you’d need to look at alot of things, some of which could include:

1. The team’s +/- when he goes out (i.e. he doesn’t always play the entire first 5 minutes of each half).
2. The team’s adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for those minutes in comparison to those of other lineups or the team overall.
3. What ADO specifically did during those minutes (FGA, FGM, FTA, fouls drawn and committed, boards, ast, to, etc).
4. And then you’d have to dig in to the film. Because that is the only way to decipher how many of the opposition’s buckets were “his fault”, and the opposite.

You could add some eye test as well and here I think it’s important to note that the opinion of Arizona’s fans as to which lineup is Lloyd’s best matches the statistics to date.

If we all came to the conclusion that Lloyd was not starting his best lineup we could then debate why a coach might do that.

I have been posting something slightly different however: there are opponents where Lloyd knows going in, before the game starts, that ADO has “no chance” against and he starts him regardless.

My question is: why the F does he do that?
I will readily admit I’m using crude data and ballpark stats to back up the good ol’ Chicat Eye Test, but much like you I see Lloyd trot out a lineup against teams where he has to know he is putting us at a disadvantage right out of the gate. And I have no answer as to why beyond managing psyches.
Of the 12 coaches, Rush picked the one whose fans have the deepest passion, the longest memories, the greatest lung capacity and … did I mention deep passion?
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Alieberman »

Do the results (wins and losses) mean anything pre / post starting lineup change? I mean... can you really argue with the results?

And what about team chemistry? Do you not risk fucking it up with a lineup change? (Assuming KJ is totally 100% on board with his 6th man spot)

I understand why many think this is a head scratcher. I'm certainly not arguing that ADO is a top 5 player on this team. (or top 7!)

I just think Tommy must see this as his best overall scheme for this team.... and I am loving the direction this team is trending in
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by 84Cat »

Tommy could easily stay with the same starting lineup and then reassess at halftime and make adjustments. There was no reason on Monday night to completely give up our halftime lead. ISU went right at Delly and took complete advantage of his defensive liabilities to start the 2nd half. NBA coached change lineups all the time depending on who their playing
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by azcat49 »

To me that 16-0 run to almost end the half (ended up being 16/5) was the best stretch of play all season considering who we were playing

Our OT was also very good as we executed well in the whole period.
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by Merkin »

azcat49 wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 9:55 am To me that 16-0 run to almost end the half (ended up being 16/5) was the best stretch of play all season considering who we were playing

Our OT was also very good as we executed well in the whole period.
I thought it interesting Veesaar started the OT period, and played well. I imagine to give Tobe a blow, who I think came in after 90 seconds.

Like has often been said, especially by me, like Lute said, it's now who starts, but who is out there in crunch time.

Also that ISU completely gave up in OT. That was really strange. Instead of setting up plays, we will just drive into the paint against 3 UA defenders and get stripped.
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by azcat49 »

It was interesting that we adjusted well to how physical the game was. Early on we were on our heels but by the end, we were dictating the physicality
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by pc in NM »

Merkin wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 9:58 am
azcat49 wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 9:55 am To me that 16-0 run to almost end the half (ended up being 16/5) was the best stretch of play all season considering who we were playing

Our OT was also very good as we executed well in the whole period.
I thought it interesting Veesaar started the OT period, and played well. I imagine to give Tobe a blow, who I think came in after 90 seconds.

Like has often been said, especially by me, like Lute said, it's now who starts, but who is out there in crunch time.

Also that ISU completely gave up in OT. That was really strange. Instead of setting up plays, we will just drive into the paint against 3 UA defenders and get stripped.
Caleb's shot had to be both shocking and deflating for them - took the wind out of the Cyclones. :D

CTL was switching Henri and Tobey then - Henri for offense, Tobey for defense - Henri really couldn't defend their big effectively, which is why he only got a few more minutes that ADO
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Re: 2024-25 Arizona Basketball

Post by EastCoastCat »

Btw, let’s give up for Tobe. He’s been a beast for us lately.

Starting to play like we thought he would based on what we saw last year.
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