Well I don't agree with some of the things you have said an actually find that they have no basis in reality. I will point out a few:JMarkJohns wrote: ↑Fri Feb 14, 2025 4:39 pm So, for a first time in a long time post, in general, I get any pushback.
I’ll begin by saying what this post isn’t: it is not me demanding Lloyd be on hot seat. I can see and appreciate the small changes (but big for Lloyd) that he’s made to radically change the fortunes of the season and improve the upside of the roster. I’ll argue some it it was forced on him with Krivas injury, and I’ll argue some of it is still slow-played as I’d like to see more from Carter right now, but needed to see more from him earlier and early in Big12 play so he could be more settled now.
What I will say is Tommy has a BIG recruiting problem for several reasons.
1. He’s better with transfers but Transfers will dry up after all the Covid Seniors are done. Redshirts aren’t a thing, so he’s going to need to be super aggressive early or he will not get the level of Pelle or Ballo or Awaka and especially Bradley or Love types of multi-year transfers.
2. His “special” offers and isolated recruitment of just a handful of prospects per class has him too limited in a time players have too much leverage. We have see Lloyd get bullied by NIL for years now. Kaluma, KJ Evans, Will Riley and this season with Tounde prior to Baylor commit, and now having time used to leverage more NIL/guarantees from Arizona/Tommy because Koa and Burries are his only plays left.
3. He does not offer early enough to create special relationships and does not eval, recruit, offer enough to have options. He needs 20+ offers per class. He needs them by start of junior year. In 2025 he had like 8 real offers, 3 of which used Arizona offer to leverage NIL elsewhere (Tounde, Khemena, Mikal Brown), and the backups all decided early”. Right now he has 4 total offers for 2026 and 2027 with just one commit in 2025.
4. Thus far he has not recruited to scheme and needs as much as you’d think. His greatest success came with Miller recruits. He’s mimic’d Mathurin with Love, but he’s not come close to finding Terry or Koloko in 3 classes. Not even in Transfer. He hasn’t prioritized shooting enough. And his International have been largely mismatches as his system needs athletic versatile bigs like Henri, not plodders like Krivas, and doesn’t need high usage ball stoppers like Bal or Pauli, although I think Pauli had a place on this team in place of Townsend.
5. Winger once said the Euro recruits would impact Prep Recruiting. But Tommy has not over-recruited Europe over Domestic Preps in 2 cycles. But something is slow playing how domestic preps and coaches and handlers use Tommy and Arizona and view Tommy and Arizona. Hopefully Carter Bryant developing and getting drafted helps remedy this. Hopefully he helps land a Burries and a Koa Peat.
But right now Tommy isn’t getting the top-transfers in a transfer market getting tighter on talent and inflated in need/price, and he’s not landing the isolated special preps he “focuses” on in the numbers or the timing needed to make smart roster decisions.
There’s a chance Koa doesn’t decide until the Portal. So, he won’t know the following:
1. If he has Carter due to NBA testing
2. If he has Koa due to him waiting to see Carter and if portal woes open new NIL options.
3. If he needs to recruit the portal for a starting caliber PF because of Koa.
In my opinion Tommy needs to do the following:
1. Have 20+ offers out by start of junior year. Smarter evals of skill, fit, patience, etc. Recruit ranks 40-85 hard. Offer 5 or so in the 85-120 range for long term development hoping one sticks. We are wasting scholarships on walk-ons. And offer 6-10 in the 1-40 range and do it early, but sophomore year (unlike Cody Williams).
2. Use Europe intermittently for wing-forward/center types with athleticism. That’s it. The Henri Philosophy.
3. Use portal to recruit one traditional transfer sophomore or junior every year.
But domestic prep recruiting has to become more of a focus. Recruit wing athletes with motors, recruit physical point of attack guards, recruit a mix of bruisers and athlete up front. Make sure some are facilitators, make sure some are shooters.
This team is almost fortunate to be this good. Roster is a mess. The Krivas injury simplified things and allowed for Henri to be used more alongside Trey and Carter uses more at PF alongside Awaka, or both Carter and Henri used together. How Krivas fits back in is beyond me. He’s a lesser Ballo with worse hands and worse perimeter quickness.
Stephen is a project but is the Brute type I know we need and Tommy must sell him on the Awaka role but with Athleticism and height.
But wing shooting and facilitation is iffy even with Burries and bad without even if Bradley returns.
Hope this doesn’t feel too bleak. Probably what happens when I take 2 years worth of my critiques and make one post out of it.
But Arizona should not be struggling this badly with domestic recruiting. We have enough of a NIL and success to be at the top of 30 players options, but the Tommy squeeze has us choking a bit too often.
That said, and here’s the hope, if Tommy can have a team like this year competing this hard with this many obvious flaws, imagine what he can do when recruiting catches up to his development and scheme?
He’s a keeper. But he needs to learn, adapt, grow, and do it faster than small steps in half a decade.
1. "Transfers will dry up after all the Covid Seniors are done." Well either you have not been following the number of players (especially underclassman not affected by COVID) that are now transferring or you have some insight that the rest of the basketball world does not seem to grasp.
2." He’s going to need to be super aggressive early or he will not get the level of Pelle or Ballo or Awaka". I'm not sure I even understand this since his strategy pulled in Awaka and if you think Ballo was a high level transfer we just disagree on that. That high level transfer averaged about 1.5 points per game. Tommy along with the conditioning staff developed Ballo. That high level transfer averaged about 1.5 points per game. Period.
3. "He hasn’t prioritized shooting enough." AGREED. Although I think we picked up a good shooter in ADO he can not play defense good enough to stay on the floor and he can't use his other skills to get his shot off. A situational player only. Carter Bryant is an exception but he is sometimes loss on defense but has really surprised me with his rebounding (++)
4. "his system needs athletic versatile bigs like Henri, not plodders like Krivas" First we completely disagree about the value of Krivas. I don't see him as a plodder at all. I think he would be our best big this year and I love all of them. Athletic versatile big hardly describes Ballo or Hunter Dickerson or last years player of the year from Purdue. I think Tommy has figured out a way to capitalize on the skills of his bigs and recognize them for what they are. I also think the thought process was to use Henri and Krivas in a high low situation but injury curtailed that.
5. "He does not offer early enough to create special relationships and does not eval, recruit, offer enough to have options." It is interesting when players are asked who is contacting them the most I often hear Arizona in the mix. This includes folks that have decided to go elsewhere. I think it is a matter of recruiting styles and some are shotgun recruiter (Miller)and some are precision recruiters. Don't know which one is better. It brought us Carter and a 5 star next year. Could it be better? Sure we could have 5 five stars.
You have no idea how many players the staff evaluates so not sure how you know it is not enough.
The last thing I will fall back on is results. Did anyone here think we would be tied for second in the BIG 12 at this point? I think it is likely we end up 4th. Did anyone realistically see us in the top 20 in the country after losing 80% of our starters? We walk on a razors edge with this team. They have performed well and I contribute that to good coaching and player development. If you recall when everyone nationally was surprised at Henri there was one that was not. Tommy. Said we never forgot about him and believed in him.