Re: Official Bracketology Thread
Posted: Wed Feb 17, 2016 9:25 am
If you look at the bubble watch it's full of shitty errors.
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Chicat wrote:I feel like it's a foregone conclusion that we will face Valpo in the first round.
Kansas isn't getting eliminated before the Sweet 16? Does Mario Chalmers still have eligibility?azcat49 wrote:Chicat wrote:I feel like it's a foregone conclusion that we will face Valpo in the first round.
And then a match up with Dayton, then Xavier and probably Kansas because, you know that's just how the committee rolls. Unless you are Duke
WeirdIrish27 wrote:http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology
True but the "eye test" should also be in play. Look at Arizona's losses, every one came down to the final possession except the Oregon game. Yet a team like Dayton (seeded higher in the latest CBS bracket) has losses to Chattanooga , LaSalle and now St Bonaventure (which I assume would drop them in the next bracket). While I don't think the Cats get a real high seed, I would be very surprised if they get a 6 seed (or worse) unless they have a bad stretch in the next four games AND go out early in the Pac-12 tourney. I am thinking they end up as a 4 seed.PHXCATS wrote:Feel like the lack of a good quality win is what will keep us from a top seed. What is the best win of the year? At Washington? USC?
@ Gonzaga maybe?PHXCATS wrote:Feel like the lack of a good quality win is what will keep us from a top seed. What is the best win of the year? At Washington? USC?
Lost to UCLA and BYU and Saint Mary's at home after we won there, not a quality win.prh wrote:@ Gonzaga maybe?PHXCATS wrote:Feel like the lack of a good quality win is what will keep us from a top seed. What is the best win of the year? At Washington? USC?
stupidChicat wrote:WeirdIrish27 wrote:http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology
Yep. Very little separation this year between the top ranked teams and everyone else. Would it really be so surprising to see all four #1 seeds fall before the FF? No. The teams seeded in the 4 to 7 range are as dangerous as anyone this year.luteformayor2 wrote:Well honestly seeding isn't going to be a factor like it has been in recent years. We could have a damn 6 seed win it all and that wouldn't be far fetched.
luteformayor2 wrote:Well honestly seeding isn't going to be a factor like it has been in recent years. We could have a damn 6 seed win it all and that wouldn't be far fetched.
Im also liking the current +2800 Odds for us to win. I think it's time for daddy to spend a little cash.
The reg season Pac champ will be a 3 seed in the tourney. No chance at a 2. Look at the 2 seed line. None of those teams is slipping.Main Event wrote:http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
Longhorned wrote:We obviously want to get that 3-seed in the west, currently occupied by Oregon. But because of the fact that we haven't beaten anybody this year, we have to take our only real opportunity and beat Utah this week. If we can't do that, then we'll get an opportunity to beat a 1-seed pretty much on their own home court in the Sweet Sixteen.
i 100% disagree -- if AZ sweeps the Mountain Pass this weekend they are immediately a firm 3 seed.Beachcat97 wrote:The reg season Pac champ will be a 3 seed in the tourney. No chance at a 2. Look at the 2 seed line. None of those teams is slipping.Main Event wrote:http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
If that all happens I see the 2 in the west. However looking at the schedules after the tweet from JB Long I see UofA as the three seed in the conference tournament and a four seed in the NCAA97cats wrote:i 100% disagree -- if AZ sweeps the Mountain Pass this weekend they are immediately a firm 3 seed.Beachcat97 wrote:The reg season Pac champ will be a 3 seed in the tourney. No chance at a 2. Look at the 2 seed line. None of those teams is slipping.Main Event wrote:http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
if Arizona somehow wins out, that would be three more regular season TOP 50 RPI wins (two on the road) and most likely another two Top 50 RPI wins in the Pac12 Conf Tournament on a neutral floor, meaning Arizona finished the year 29-5 (13-1 OOC) with at least a share and probably the outright Pac12 Regular Season title while winning the Pac12 Conf Tournament Championship and ending the season on a 13 game winning streak and likely holding a Top 5 ranking in both major polls.
if for some reason that happened, and its a GIGANTIC if and probably unlikely, Arizona is without a doubt a protected 2 seed maybe even pushing a 1 depending on how the other teams finish the season.
so while unlikely, i wouldnt say Pac12 Conf Champion has "no chance at a 2" seed
Ask Wichita StateBeachcat97 wrote:We're not getting higher than a 3 seed, guys, and that assumes no more losses. It is what it is. The committee greatly values SOS.
Again undefeated and their OOC Sos that year was better than U of A's this year. By about three miles. Next.....rgdeuce wrote:Their toughest games that year were: Tennessee, Saint Louis, and BYU, and only one of them was a road game.
Yep. I think some posters are underestimating how bad our SOS is this year.PHXCATS wrote:Again undefeated and their OOC Sos that year was better than U of A's this year. By about three miles. Next.....rgdeuce wrote:Their toughest games that year were: Tennessee, Saint Louis, and BYU, and only one of them was a road game.
Beachcat97 wrote:If we somehow go undefeated between now and Selection Sunday, we're probably looking at a 3 seed.
Beachcat97 wrote:We're not getting higher than a 3 seed, guys
Beachcat97 wrote:The reg season Pac champ will be a 3 seed in the tourney. No chance at a 2
So somewhere between 2 and 4 with a slight chance of 1, 5 or 6Beachcat97 wrote:No chance for a 2. I say this based on what I expect to happen.
Some was beyond control and foresight but the ooc sos this year any way you slice it is embarrassing and will cost seedingOlsondogg wrote:A laughable debate. Arizona should have known when they made the schedule that the Zags would end up down this season, that Providence would fade, and that Missouri and UNLV would go through turmoil.
PHXCATS wrote:Some was beyond control and foresight but the ooc sos this year any way you slice it is embarrassing and will cost seedingOlsondogg wrote:A laughable debate. Arizona should have known when they made the schedule that the Zags would end up down this season, that Providence would fade, and that Missouri and UNLV would go through turmoil.
You gonna hang your hat on those three schools? Congrats, they beat 3 tournament teams ALL YEAR. A 5 side, a 10 seed, and an 11 seed. Actually, that may be all they played the whole year in terms of tournament teams. You conveniently framed your argument around an out of conference schedule that really is a joke to begin with. Our fault Gonzaga weren't the top 10 team we thought they were (they are still likely getting into the tournament), and UNLV was gonna have a mess of a season, and Missouri wasn't a tournament team, nor Boise State, or we would lose Zeus for what would have been a top 25 win on a neutral site with a chance to play Michigan State to get yet another big game for the schedule. Basketball in January and February means a hell of a lot more than basketball in November and December in terms of seeding. When all is said and done, Arizona will have played at least 10 games against NCAA tournament teams to Wichita State's 3.PHXCATS wrote:Again undefeated and their OOC Sos that year was better than U of A's this year. By about three miles. Next.....rgdeuce wrote:Their toughest games that year were: Tennessee, Saint Louis, and BYU, and only one of them was a road game.
We aren't underestimating anything. We played in top to bottom, arguably the deepest conference in the country. We have plenty of games/wins/road wins against bubble teams (Washington, UCLA, maybe Oregon State) who will not get the benefit of the doubt for our deep conference and be left out. We still played several tough to toughish nonconference games that would be a challenge a lot of teams in the top 25 right now. RPI 51-100, we have seven wins by double digits and several more that were close to that. We just see that where we are getting hammered the most is, we have only 1 game against RPI 100-150 (double digit win UNLV, which cant be too bad, they killed Oregon in Eugen) and a bunch of teams in that 150+, who were all getting beat by 20, 30, and 40 plus points outside of the disaster Santa Clara game. That is why our BPI is much higher than our RPI, you can still make a game against a bad team a good game by how u beat them and how you look doing it. If Duke beats American Samoa Law school 93-32, do you say, wow, Duke's a damn good team? Or do you say, ha, American Samoa sucks, Duke isn't that good?. You can swap all those teams with RPI 100-150 and we are winning most by double digits anyhow. We murdered the bad teams like we should have and there are plenty of teams who didnt murder their bad teams.Beachcat97 wrote:
Yep. I think some posters are underestimating how bad our SOS is this year.
Is the committee really gonna do a Sean/Archie matchup? Is that a given?UAtrue wrote:Both Lunardi and USA Today now have us as a 4 seed in the midwest and Oregon a 3 seed in the west.
http://m.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology?i ... &year=2016" target="_blank
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nc ... /80699606/" target="_blank
these to me seem right from AZ's perspective in terms of seed if the season ended today.UAtrue wrote:Both Lunardi and USA Today now have us as a 4 seed in the midwest and Oregon a 3 seed in the west.
http://m.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology?i ... &year=2016" target="_blank
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nc ... /80699606/" target="_blank