Alieberman wrote:
Here are each teams remaining games vs current top 20
#1Miss St: at Alabama, at Ole Miss
#2 Florida St: None
#3 Auburn: At Ole Miss, at Georgia and at Alabama
#4 Ole Miss: Auburn Miss St.
#5 Oregon: at Utah
#6 Alabama: at LSU, Miss St, Auburn
#7 TCU: Kansas St.
#8 Michigan St: Ohio St.
#9 Kansas St: at TCU, at Baylor
#10 Notre Dame: at ASU
#11 Georgia: Auburn
#12 Arizona: at Utah, ASU (plus this week at #22 UCLA)
#15 Nebraska: None
I've edited your list to pull out teams that already have a bad loss. A 1 loss team that already has a bad loss will probably be passed over for a 2 loss team that only had close losses to other top teams.
Removed from contention for bad losses:
Utah lost to Wash St
Ohio St lost to VA Tech
ASU crushed by UCLA 62-27
Baylor big loss to West Virginia 41-27
That leaves 13 teams with a chance for the final 4.
I bolded the teams who I think could still have 2 good losses and remain in the playoff picture. The rest of the teams realistically need to win out to get a spot in the finals (including Arizona).
Also, remember that everyone except TCU, K State, and ND will have to play an additional game against a top 20 team in their conference championship to stay alive for the playoffs.
It's great that we are one of the last 13 teams with a chance for the championship, but that all goes away with one loss. Beat Ucla! Beat ASSu! Bear Down!