ChooChooCat wrote:So much for me is can he recruit effectively at Arizona. Every new coach at every new program typically does well, because there's a hype and a selling point of "we're new, we're up and coming, we're going to win, come be part of something big," and at this point RR is well beyond that and his recent recruiting classes tell that story in its entirety. He has no momentum out there where it matters and even if he puts together a winning season it's nothing more than a bandaid on a situation that he's gone too far down to fix in its entirety. The same thing happened to Stoops. Each new coach has a narrow window to recruit well and profit off said recruiting classes. RR has gone well beyond that time and hopefully will have left very good notes to the next coaching staff to succeed (hint recruit both California and Texas).
I would counter two things that don't totally alleviate your concerns, but speak to them:
1) This style of offense (and, for a bit, defense) doesn't require 4 and 5 star players if the right players are found. And he had been finding them, and did at WVU. There are some exceptions to that...linemen are linemen. But we can win with 3* in this system, and we have to, because that is who we are going to consistently get. But more importantly...
2) The 2017 class was, based off commits, loaded. He did show the ability to recruit. In year 5, he was able to still sell this program and its competition, exposure, and trajectory. The wheels fell off the bus, and some of that was his fault (flirting with other jobs, losing) and some of that was an absolute knife in the back from Donte Williams...everyone should be able to move up in their career, but it is bullshit to take a job and then leave before the task you were hired for is even accomplished once. There should be some decorum there. But there wasn't, and that was the final blow to a class that at one time appeared to be a top 15.
The question left unanswered is: can he recruit now? I think the answer is no. But if he wins this year, I would say he is a good enough coach that he will be able to grow that back, and still win with 3 star recruits (again, if he solves this mess). But that is unlikely, so he is going to have to be fired, because perception is reality, and he will not be able to recruit.
Which is why I say he has to go if this year isn't successful, but if, magically, he was on the market as a new coach, and we had this opening, I would hire him in a heartbeat. He is here and the cause of a lot of this, so he has to go. But if this was someone else we were firing and RR was available, knowing everything we know about him? I think he would be the perfect coach for our situation. Because the same shit show is very unlikely to happen again, and he is a innovator on offense who gets more from less, which is also what we need.
But that isn't the case. So he has to go. Unless he wins.