Re: Sean Miller
Posted: Tue Mar 16, 2021 8:21 pm
GOD DAMN IT ROBBINS! MAKE A FUCKING DECISION ASSHOLE!!!!!!!!!
Had AZ played in the PAC12 tourney we would have been the 5 seed. I think we would have won against Cal...........and then AZ would have played the 4 seed UCLA (in which Cronin would have played Miller like a fiddle again for a 3rd time this year). As a result there is NO WAY IN HELL that we wind up with a higher seed than UCLA and ended up with a 10 seed, regardless of NET rankings. We would have, at best, wound up with the last seed (or one better) in (11 seed).AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:13 pmArizona had a final NET rating of 44. UCLA, 46. Had Arizona been a part of the PAC-12 tournament, and because of this, Oregon St. doesn't win in Vegas, and instead, say Oregon or USC wins it, both Arizona and UCLA would have likely received big dance bids. If Oregon St. stole a bid, then it's likely the First Four spot would have come down to AZ and UCLA, and then the head-to-head match-up would have come into play. At this point, had UCLA beaten us for a third time, the last spot would have been theirs.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:32 pmTroll??? Nope, Realist.IndianaZonaFan wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:24 amWith this logic, Indiana should have been a 1 seed because they swept Iowa....you’re a pessimistic troll.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:04 am10 seed?? I doubt it.AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 9:08 am 5, 6, 7? Does it matter that much. Point is, we were a lock last year. We had already won our first round PAC-12 Tournament game, and our NET couldn't move down too much, but could potentially move up the more we advanced in Vegas.
As for this year, I content, bubble in before the Conference tournament started. Somewhere around a 10 seed. Three ways we could have missed out had we been eligible. One, lose our first-round PAC-12 Conference Tournament game. Two, win round one, lose to UCLA, and have a bid-stealer like Oregon State win the PAC-12 Tournament auto bid. Three, have more bid stealers like Georgetown win. Impossible to say what Vegas would have looked like had we been the 5 seed and pushed Oregon State down to the 6. As it went, Oregon State only had to win 3 games as they had a bye as a 5-seed with us out of the tournament. Do they win 4 in 4 days if they had to go that route?
As for Miller, the longer we go without resolution, the worse it gets. Either can him or extend him 3 years with a low buyout in case the penalties are harsh.
UCLA ended up an 11 seed in a play in game......and they swept us twice.
At best we would have been last in (or next to last in). Missing the tourney entirely would have been a very real possibility.
I'm not a Fanboy with rose colored glasses.
This isn't looking at Arizona through rose colored glasses. It's looking at who the last four in teams are, their NET rating, conference NET rating, and where Arizona fit, which is right in line with UCLA. Two spots better, if you want to get technical. And while it's all hypothetical, had we been eligible, we would have been a true bubble team entering Conference Tournament play. Lose game one, and likely out. Win two games, then relatively safe. Win one and lose one, and we'd be last four in, and hoping auto bids didn't go to too many bid stealers like Oregon State and Georgetown.
Hmmmm... I wonder if having a postseason to play for might have changed a loss or two into wins and changed our position in the conference standings and how we would have been perceived by the selection committee.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 8:21 pmHad AZ played in the PAC12 tourney we would have been the 5 seed. I think we would have won against Cal...........and then AZ would have played the 4 seed UCLA (in which Cronin would have played Miller like a fiddle again for a 3rd time this year). As a result there is NO WAY IN HELL that we wind up with a higher seed than UCLA and ended up with a 10 seed, regardless of NET rankings. We would have, at best, wound up with the last seed (or one better) in (11 seed).
From what I’ve heard it’s not just Davis. There would be more than him run off.84Cat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 9:07 pm I wonder what Cole Davis is saying and thinking right now. If Robbins runs him off, this could turn into a total disaster
Yes. It would be me, too. I would renounce this university if Robbins runs off Miller. Seriously. I would keep a few of the people who I'm friends with from here as contacts and cut all other ties.
That is encouraging. Thanks. Someone should send him the Richard Jefferson tweet on why he is a Miller guy. Yes Doc the one the building is named for.zonagrad wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 8:13 pm Rumblings? Yes. A loyal fan base that has followed the program religiously, some for 45 years, is getting hacked off because a heart surgeon with a God complex is convinced he can be an athletic director.
It’s about time that every donor with two nickels to rub together need to start making this about removing a school president and not a basketball coach.
With our resume, we entered Conference tournament season as a 10 seed. A very precarious position, as it's square bubble territory. Had we lost to CAL, that would have likely pushed our NET rankings below 50, and put us bubble out. Beat CAL, and we don't gain much, but don't lose much either. The match-up between Arizona and UCLA in Vegas would have been a QUAD 1 game, as it was neutral court, with both teams with a NET ranking better than 50. The winner of this game would have been a lock, with the loser back on the bubble, hoping a team like Oregon State didn't win in Vegas and steal a bid. Just speculation, but had we been eligible, same resume, lose to CAL, we're NIT bound. Beat CAL and UCLA, we'd be a lock. Go 1-1 in Vegas, and if one of the top 4 teams won the PAC-12 Tournament, we'd be playing in the First Four. Had Oregon State or another bid stealer took a bid, we'd be out. Again, this is based on the fact our NET ranking is actually 2 better than UCLA, though going into the PAC-12, UCLA likely had a slightly higher NET, but their loss to Oregon State hurt.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 8:21 pmHad AZ played in the PAC12 tourney we would have been the 5 seed. I think we would have won against Cal...........and then AZ would have played the 4 seed UCLA (in which Cronin would have played Miller like a fiddle again for a 3rd time this year). As a result there is NO WAY IN HELL that we wind up with a higher seed than UCLA and ended up with a 10 seed, regardless of NET rankings. We would have, at best, wound up with the last seed (or one better) in (11 seed).AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:13 pmArizona had a final NET rating of 44. UCLA, 46. Had Arizona been a part of the PAC-12 tournament, and because of this, Oregon St. doesn't win in Vegas, and instead, say Oregon or USC wins it, both Arizona and UCLA would have likely received big dance bids. If Oregon St. stole a bid, then it's likely the First Four spot would have come down to AZ and UCLA, and then the head-to-head match-up would have come into play. At this point, had UCLA beaten us for a third time, the last spot would have been theirs.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:32 pmTroll??? Nope, Realist.IndianaZonaFan wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:24 amWith this logic, Indiana should have been a 1 seed because they swept Iowa....you’re a pessimistic troll.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:04 am
10 seed?? I doubt it.
UCLA ended up an 11 seed in a play in game......and they swept us twice.
At best we would have been last in (or next to last in). Missing the tourney entirely would have been a very real possibility.
I'm not a Fanboy with rose colored glasses.
This isn't looking at Arizona through rose colored glasses. It's looking at who the last four in teams are, their NET rating, conference NET rating, and where Arizona fit, which is right in line with UCLA. Two spots better, if you want to get technical. And while it's all hypothetical, had we been eligible, we would have been a true bubble team entering Conference Tournament play. Lose game one, and likely out. Win two games, then relatively safe. Win one and lose one, and we'd be last four in, and hoping auto bids didn't go to too many bid stealers like Oregon State and Georgetown.
I agree with this. We kept playing hard, but the motivation has to be different.EVCat wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:01 am in the fantasy game of trying to figure out where we would be seeded if we made the tournament this year, I think it is important to consider motivation. The team had the tournament taken from them mid season. To think that didn't impact the outcome of a couple of close games is to not really understand the mind of a college basketball player at a program that makes the tournament the reason for the process. I am of the mind that we would have a better record if the team was playing for the tournament. There was a period of a week or so after the ban that the team looked to be fired up to show people differently, but that wanes.
There was no moment where they obviously let down, but the motivation to fight through the slog during that mid-conference slump, most notably in the Rockies, is naturally less when there is no larger goal. Competitors compete. But they are also playing against competitors, ones with March goals.
I've grown to really dislike Robbins, but the self-ban was reasonable. I think we're going to base our IARP case off this ban being enough.azcat49 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:24 am That’s another reason Robbins is a POS. He did the self ban in an attempt to yank the season and further out a poor light on Miller. I really believe that
The self-ban is only reasonable if the NOA was also released. We know now that Robbins was happy to implement the ban but withheld the NOA for no other reason than to protect himself. The fact that he was implicated in the NOA by the NCAA for his actions, not Miller's, speaks volumes. If anything, the NOA provided a bit of vindication for Miller regarding all the media reports alleging payment of players. Not of that was even remotely addressed in the NOA. Immediately releasing the NOA to the media would've done a great deal to repair the damaged reputation of Sean Miller and made sense if you truly had the intent to protect the program and your head coach. But Robbins suppressed the NOA because his own ass was named by the NCAA -- which is comical. In my opinion, the ABOR has as much right to question Robbins' actions and ethics as much as anyone named in the NOA -- perhaps more so.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:31 amI've grown to really dislike Robbins, but the self-ban was reasonable. I think we're going to base our IARP case off this ban being enough.azcat49 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:24 am That’s another reason Robbins is a POS. He did the self ban in an attempt to yank the season and further out a poor light on Miller. I really believe that
It's very unusual for more than a 1 year ban. I think it's smart to ride that notion.
I'd respectfully disagree here. We self-sanctioned immediately on receipt of the NOA. That is clearly a result of our legal team assessing the allegations and believing a 1 year ban is a reasonable level of sanctions likely to be accepted by the IARP.zonagrad wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 9:56 am The self-ban is only reasonable if the NOA was also released.
Looks like the staffs eyes are locked on Tari Eason who would fit the need there superbly.gronk4heisman wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 5:13 pm I think it is pretty clear Miller sees the one thing the team severely lacks after watching this entire year. An athletic long wing who can cause havoc on the perimeter. I think that is evident by the people he is going after, and he is using the transfer market because those are the best available instant impact players at this stage.
That's a great example - the majority of those players were pissed Patrick Chambers was fired in the first place because it happened a few weeks before the season started with little explanation from the athletic department.TheCat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:44 pmAsk Penn State who just replaced their coach and announced a new one. Yesterday Penn State hired Micah Shrewsberry from Purdue as their new coach. Today 5 players announced they are transferring, 4 of them starters. A sixth just entered the portal so SIX players are transferring.IndianaZonaFan wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 1:17 pm Anybody know the players’ thoughts? Would there be a mass exodus if Miller is fired?
10 seed???? How on earth did you come to that conclusion???AzCatFan2 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 8:28 amWith our resume, we entered Conference tournament season as a 10 seed. A very precarious position, as it's square bubble territory. Had we lost to CAL, that would have likely pushed our NET rankings below 50, and put us bubble out. Beat CAL, and we don't gain much, but don't lose much either. The match-up between Arizona and UCLA in Vegas would have been a QUAD 1 game, as it was neutral court, with both teams with a NET ranking better than 50. The winner of this game would have been a lock, with the loser back on the bubble, hoping a team like Oregon State didn't win in Vegas and steal a bid. Just speculation, but had we been eligible, same resume, lose to CAL, we're NIT bound. Beat CAL and UCLA, we'd be a lock. Go 1-1 in Vegas, and if one of the top 4 teams won the PAC-12 Tournament, we'd be playing in the First Four. Had Oregon State or another bid stealer took a bid, we'd be out. Again, this is based on the fact our NET ranking is actually 2 better than UCLA, though going into the PAC-12, UCLA likely had a slightly higher NET, but their loss to Oregon State hurt.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 8:21 pmHad AZ played in the PAC12 tourney we would have been the 5 seed. I think we would have won against Cal...........and then AZ would have played the 4 seed UCLA (in which Cronin would have played Miller like a fiddle again for a 3rd time this year). As a result there is NO WAY IN HELL that we wind up with a higher seed than UCLA and ended up with a 10 seed, regardless of NET rankings. We would have, at best, wound up with the last seed (or one better) in (11 seed).AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:13 pmArizona had a final NET rating of 44. UCLA, 46. Had Arizona been a part of the PAC-12 tournament, and because of this, Oregon St. doesn't win in Vegas, and instead, say Oregon or USC wins it, both Arizona and UCLA would have likely received big dance bids. If Oregon St. stole a bid, then it's likely the First Four spot would have come down to AZ and UCLA, and then the head-to-head match-up would have come into play. At this point, had UCLA beaten us for a third time, the last spot would have been theirs.dmjcat wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:32 pmTroll??? Nope, Realist.IndianaZonaFan wrote: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:24 am
With this logic, Indiana should have been a 1 seed because they swept Iowa....you’re a pessimistic troll.
I'm not a Fanboy with rose colored glasses.
This isn't looking at Arizona through rose colored glasses. It's looking at who the last four in teams are, their NET rating, conference NET rating, and where Arizona fit, which is right in line with UCLA. Two spots better, if you want to get technical. And while it's all hypothetical, had we been eligible, we would have been a true bubble team entering Conference Tournament play. Lose game one, and likely out. Win two games, then relatively safe. Win one and lose one, and we'd be last four in, and hoping auto bids didn't go to too many bid stealers like Oregon State and Georgetown.
And it's an impressive coaching job by Miller, to lose all 5 starters off a tournament lock team, and then lose the player with the most experience, in Baker, half way through the season. Keriisa was also ineligible most of the year, and Batcho didn't play a minute. Then we had games canceled, rescheduled, etc., and still, we were a bubble team. Considering who we have returning, assuming they all come back including Miller, we will have a lot of talent with a lot of good experience. We might even be Arizona good next year.
He posted it. The NCAA uses NET primarily and we were slotted ahead of UCLA.dmjcat wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 12:32 pm 10 seed???? How on earth did you come to that conclusion???
UCLA ended up an 11 seed in a play-in game and they defeated us twice. Its unlikely we would have been seeded higher than UCLA.
I'll play.SCCats wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:01 pm Make me a list of the top 5 coaches in college basketball and tell me where Sean ends up on that list.
It's a nice comment.
And totally against the weight of the evidence.
How about he recruit 3 first round draft choices because he needed to prove that Arizona was still the place to go. He changed his recruiting completely. He had one of the top offenses in the country and compare that tempo to 3 years ago. He had a better record this year than either Duke or Kentucky with their load of 5 stars. He also replaced all the starters and about 85 % of the scoring and 70% of the rebounds.SCCats wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:13 pm Our RPI/NET/ETC numbers
That's not even getting into the "He brought the cops"
How about: we're an also ran team in an also ran conference....again.
Amen. And big props to RJ for speaking about so publicly in support of our coach.TheCat wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:10 pm Look at the graph showing Miller's accomplishments and tell me why a change is even contemplated. https://twitter.com/i/status/1370135406507917315
Yeah, I'll play too.SCCats wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:01 pm Make me a list of the top 5 coaches in college basketball and tell me where Sean ends up on that list.
It's a nice comment.
And totally against the weight of the evidence.
Heck, Miller has more trips to the Elite Eight than Few and Bennett. Same # as Wright, although Wright obviously has the two recent NC's.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 6:47 pmYeah, I'll play too.SCCats wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:01 pm Make me a list of the top 5 coaches in college basketball and tell me where Sean ends up on that list.
It's a nice comment.
And totally against the weight of the evidence.
Here are the only current college coaches I'd take right now over Miller, in no order:
Calipari, Self, Few, Wright, Bennett.
That's it. And Bennett is a stretch. I left out some big names because they're quite old and likely won't coach very much longer: K, Roy, Izzo.
Bennett also has a national title, so there's that. But yeah, Miller absolutely belongs among that group. He's being judged more by the last three seasons than by the seven or eight that preceded them.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 7:20 pmHeck, Miller has more trips to the Elite Eight than Few and Bennett. Same # as Wright, although Wright obviously has the two recent NC's.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 6:47 pmYeah, I'll play too.SCCats wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 5:01 pm Make me a list of the top 5 coaches in college basketball and tell me where Sean ends up on that list.
It's a nice comment.
And totally against the weight of the evidence.
Here are the only current college coaches I'd take right now over Miller, in no order:
Calipari, Self, Few, Wright, Bennett.
That's it. And Bennett is a stretch. I left out some big names because they're quite old and likely won't coach very much longer: K, Roy, Izzo.
That's not odd to put Miller in that company. His resume exceeds guys like Scott Drew.
Even if you just use the last three years and look at how he's recruited and how the kids have played during this extreme time. I don't see how you can't call it a job well done.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 8:24 pm Bennett also has a national title, so there's that. But yeah, Miller absolutely belongs among that group. He's being judged more by the last three seasons than by the seven or eight that preceded them.
Yeah, although Bennett was regarded as a huge choke artist before that NC. It's one of those things about CBB, how do you weight a NC vs years of getting knocked out early?Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 8:24 pm Bennett also has a national title, so there's that. But yeah, Miller absolutely belongs among that group. He's being judged more by the last three seasons than by the seven or eight that preceded them.
Could not agree more. Really tired of defending him to my AZ alum friends. They sure liked him in 2015.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Wed Mar 17, 2021 8:49 pm
Look, on the whole, I just tend to be of the opinion it's silly to ding Miller for these last 3 years. The hit from the FBI and ESPN was something no coach would have avoided.
Please name this international coach of mystery who will not only want to work for a milquetoast AD who has no power to protect him and a megalomaniac President who is playing out his fantasy of being a pro league GM but also will magically bring us back to prominence and to levels Sean Miller could only dream of...SCCats wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:14 am When someone else eventually comes in and turns us into a top 15 or better program in just a few years, I wonder how some will look back at the current delusion.
Time will tell.
Respectfully, I asked you to name the 5-7 coaches you'd put above Miller accounting for age. I'd genuinely be interested in your answer, much more interested than comments like the above.SCCats wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:14 am When someone else eventually comes in and turns us into a top 15 or better program in just a few years, I wonder how some will look back at the current delusion.
Time will tell.
The only current delusion is of those who believe there is an accomplished coach out there ready to leave a sure thing at their current program to go work for and AD and school president who have bungled, bobbled, and fumbled their way through an ugly situation. What coach is dying to sign up for THAT?SCCats wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:14 am When someone else eventually comes in and turns us into a top 15 or better program in just a few years, I wonder how some will look back at the current delusion.
Time will tell.
Take a top 25 list of the best college coaches. Pick a name off the list that isn't Sean Miller.
Question wasn't for me, but I think it's that some AZ fans would prefer the unknown to what we currently have. There's this idea that *any* new coach would be better than Miller.
I'm starting to think you don't want to try to name better coaches.SCCats wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 8:52 am Yeah, I know. We're a horrible job. Who would want to come to Arizona, get paid $3.5M+ a year (or whatever it is) and have no expectations for a couple years while you get to build.
I don't know what to tell you guys. Clearly you seem interested in grinding out some more seasons of RPI 35 basketball. You might get your wish. You'd think three would be enough, but apparently not. So we'll grind out some more shit basketball; and don't delude yourself, that's what it is. Three years of the least compelling shit I've ever seen from Arizona hoops. And that's the problem now; it's not even that we're bad and we're angry, it's that we seem to be getting to a point where people don't even give a shit anymore. Conference games this year with 30 or 40 posts in the thread? That's magic, it's right where you wanna to be.
One day we're going to look back on this and think about how wrong we were. I hope that person is me. But I'd happy put my own money down on "it's not me."
That doesn't even make sense. Many of those coaches are in better situations or aren't at an age where they would want to start over from scratch rebuilding a program from the ground up.
That makes even LESS sense. Any coach? ANY? C'mon... Herb Sendek is a step up?Beachcat97 wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:06 amQuestion wasn't for me, but I think it's that some AZ fans would prefer the unknown to what we currently have. There's this idea that *any* new coach would be better than Miller.
I'll take that bet. Right now. How about a C-note?SCCats wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 8:52 am Yeah, I know. We're a horrible job. Who would want to come to Arizona, get paid $3.5M+ a year (or whatever it is) and have no expectations for a couple years while you get to build.
I don't know what to tell you guys. Clearly you seem interested in grinding out some more seasons of RPI 35 basketball. You might get your wish. You'd think three would be enough, but apparently not. So we'll grind out some more shit basketball; and don't delude yourself, that's what it is. Three years of the least compelling shit I've ever seen from Arizona hoops. And that's the problem now; it's not even that we're bad and we're angry, it's that we seem to be getting to a point where people don't even give a shit anymore. Conference games this year with 30 or 40 posts in the thread? That's magic, it's right where you wanna to be.
One day we're going to look back on this and think about how wrong we were. I hope that person is me. But I'd happy put my own money down on "it's not me."
This is not my opinion. It's just what I've noticed among people who want Miller gone. Their desire to fire Miller greatly outweighs their confidence that we can hire someone better.Chicat wrote: Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:10 am That makes even LESS sense. Any coach? ANY? C'mon... Herb Sendek is a step up?