Re: Conference Realignment
Posted: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:07 pm
You really, really need to seek therapy...
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Are you asking does FSU and Clemson have the boosters along with the money from any new TV deal to make up for it? Yes. Plus there's no world where they would have to pay that full $120 million.AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 11:27 am Anyone think Clemson and FSU have $120 million on hand to break their ACC contract? And this assumes the FSU lawyers are correct that $120 million is the number needed to break the contract. And doesn't include potential lengthy legal fees if the ACC decides to fight schools that wish to leave.
And game theory isn't pretzel logic. Oxford defines it as, "the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant's choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants."
Our outcome may depend on the actions of other participants, and we would be wise to use game theory to determine other participants' (schools) potential moves in order to attempt to garner the best possible outcome for us. If we can work it out so we end up in a better situation than the BIG12, we should work towards that goal.
I also disagree our brand would be significantly damaged in five years, even if most of our games are streaming on Apple. It's not like anyone around the country saw any games broadcast on PAC-12 Network. Yet, our brand survived. And it's not like the BIG12 are getting premium placements on FOX or ESPN. A 9:00AM or 10:00 AM local start at UCF on FS1, or a 7:30 PM start streaming on ESPN+ at home against Kansas are things that could be in store for us if we go BIG12 now. How are those any better?
Sure about that?
The original OU/TX agreement to leave was $80 million each. It was negotiated down to $50 million to leave a year early. Interesting difference. The GOR was running out, but there was/is a separate agreement that BIG12 schools wouldn't leave for 99 years after signing. (https://www.si.com/college/2023/02/03/b ... -explainer) ACC GOR isn't running out until 2036, which is one reason why it is more difficult for ACC to exit.ChooChooCat wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:08 pmAre you asking does FSU and Clemson have the boosters along with the money from any new TV deal to make up for it? Yes. Plus there's no world where they would have to pay that full $120 million.AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 11:27 am Anyone think Clemson and FSU have $120 million on hand to break their ACC contract? And this assumes the FSU lawyers are correct that $120 million is the number needed to break the contract. And doesn't include potential lengthy legal fees if the ACC decides to fight schools that wish to leave.
And game theory isn't pretzel logic. Oxford defines it as, "the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant's choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants."
Our outcome may depend on the actions of other participants, and we would be wise to use game theory to determine other participants' (schools) potential moves in order to attempt to garner the best possible outcome for us. If we can work it out so we end up in a better situation than the BIG12, we should work towards that goal.
I also disagree our brand would be significantly damaged in five years, even if most of our games are streaming on Apple. It's not like anyone around the country saw any games broadcast on PAC-12 Network. Yet, our brand survived. And it's not like the BIG12 are getting premium placements on FOX or ESPN. A 9:00AM or 10:00 AM local start at UCF on FS1, or a 7:30 PM start streaming on ESPN+ at home against Kansas are things that could be in store for us if we go BIG12 now. How are those any better?
I mean we just saw Texas and Oklahoma pay $50 million each to leave the Big 12 early and they were supposed to pay double that.
You live in fantasy land. I live in reality.
Most of our games were not on Pac 12 Network. That's not an argument, I've debunked that bullshit from you 100000000 times over. You have been weighed, you have been measured, and you have been found wanting. You are not a capable opponent. You are a jester.
The brand was really strong when less than half a million people tuned in to see Arizona host an SEC school last September. It was outpaced by memorable games like Missouri-Kansas State, Louisville-UCF, and Ohio-Penn State.CardiacCats97 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 1:31 pm Our brand survived? Our brand is currently on life support. Five more years in the PAC is hospice.
Yet the 99 years agreement sure didn't hurt Texas/OU financially now did it?AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:56 pmThe original OU/TX agreement to leave was $80 million each. It was negotiated down to $50 million to leave a year early. Interesting difference. The GOR was running out, but there was/is a separate agreement that BIG12 schools wouldn't leave for 99 years after signing. (https://www.si.com/college/2023/02/03/b ... -explainer) ACC GOR isn't running out until 2036, which is one reason why it is more difficult for ACC to exit.ChooChooCat wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:08 pmAre you asking does FSU and Clemson have the boosters along with the money from any new TV deal to make up for it? Yes. Plus there's no world where they would have to pay that full $120 million.AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 11:27 am Anyone think Clemson and FSU have $120 million on hand to break their ACC contract? And this assumes the FSU lawyers are correct that $120 million is the number needed to break the contract. And doesn't include potential lengthy legal fees if the ACC decides to fight schools that wish to leave.
And game theory isn't pretzel logic. Oxford defines it as, "the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant's choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants."
Our outcome may depend on the actions of other participants, and we would be wise to use game theory to determine other participants' (schools) potential moves in order to attempt to garner the best possible outcome for us. If we can work it out so we end up in a better situation than the BIG12, we should work towards that goal.
I also disagree our brand would be significantly damaged in five years, even if most of our games are streaming on Apple. It's not like anyone around the country saw any games broadcast on PAC-12 Network. Yet, our brand survived. And it's not like the BIG12 are getting premium placements on FOX or ESPN. A 9:00AM or 10:00 AM local start at UCF on FS1, or a 7:30 PM start streaming on ESPN+ at home against Kansas are things that could be in store for us if we go BIG12 now. How are those any better?
I mean we just saw Texas and Oklahoma pay $50 million each to leave the Big 12 early and they were supposed to pay double that.
You live in fantasy land. I live in reality.
Most of our games were not on Pac 12 Network. That's not an argument, I've debunked that bullshit from you 100000000 times over. You have been weighed, you have been measured, and you have been found wanting. You are not a capable opponent. You are a jester.
As for games on the P12 Network, we had 7 out of 12 of our football games, and 13 out of 31 basketball games (and counting) on the P12 Network this year. You've debunked nothing.
And I wish people would stop putting words in my mouth in order to try and debunk me. I never stated we've had most of our games on the P12 Network. I've said we survived the P12 Network, and we'll survive any PAC that may come our way. And I doubt any new contract is going to be significantly worse than having over 45% of our football and basketball games on the P12 Network.
If $50 million doesn't hurt, then you are already in a good position. It would hurt us. I would imagine $120 million would hurt FSU and Clemson. And even schools like Texas and OU bargained down to get the number they needed to pay down from $80 million to $50 million. TX and OU also had a different reality then FSU and Clemson are currently facing. TX and OU argued they didn't have a vote on the 4 former G5 schools joining the BIG12, and therefore, shouldn't be forced to face them. TX and OU also had an expiration date on their GOR quickly approaching. As of right now, the ACC isn't adding teams, and their GOR doesn't end for another 13 seasons. $120 million might get Clemson and FSU out of the ACC, but it may not get them out of the GOR contract. A point the former ESPN President made recently during an interview where he suggested the ACC and PAC should merge. (https://247sports.com/Article/Conferenc ... ard%20Show.) A link to the show is included, and the ACC/PAC discussion starts around the 35 minute mark.ChooChooCat wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 6:10 amYet the 99 years agreement sure didn't hurt Texas/OU financially now did it?AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:56 pmThe original OU/TX agreement to leave was $80 million each. It was negotiated down to $50 million to leave a year early. Interesting difference. The GOR was running out, but there was/is a separate agreement that BIG12 schools wouldn't leave for 99 years after signing. (https://www.si.com/college/2023/02/03/b ... -explainer) ACC GOR isn't running out until 2036, which is one reason why it is more difficult for ACC to exit.ChooChooCat wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:08 pmAre you asking does FSU and Clemson have the boosters along with the money from any new TV deal to make up for it? Yes. Plus there's no world where they would have to pay that full $120 million.AzCatFan2 wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 11:27 am Anyone think Clemson and FSU have $120 million on hand to break their ACC contract? And this assumes the FSU lawyers are correct that $120 million is the number needed to break the contract. And doesn't include potential lengthy legal fees if the ACC decides to fight schools that wish to leave.
And game theory isn't pretzel logic. Oxford defines it as, "the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant's choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants."
Our outcome may depend on the actions of other participants, and we would be wise to use game theory to determine other participants' (schools) potential moves in order to attempt to garner the best possible outcome for us. If we can work it out so we end up in a better situation than the BIG12, we should work towards that goal.
I also disagree our brand would be significantly damaged in five years, even if most of our games are streaming on Apple. It's not like anyone around the country saw any games broadcast on PAC-12 Network. Yet, our brand survived. And it's not like the BIG12 are getting premium placements on FOX or ESPN. A 9:00AM or 10:00 AM local start at UCF on FS1, or a 7:30 PM start streaming on ESPN+ at home against Kansas are things that could be in store for us if we go BIG12 now. How are those any better?
I mean we just saw Texas and Oklahoma pay $50 million each to leave the Big 12 early and they were supposed to pay double that.
You live in fantasy land. I live in reality.
Most of our games were not on Pac 12 Network. That's not an argument, I've debunked that bullshit from you 100000000 times over. You have been weighed, you have been measured, and you have been found wanting. You are not a capable opponent. You are a jester.
As for games on the P12 Network, we had 7 out of 12 of our football games, and 13 out of 31 basketball games (and counting) on the P12 Network this year. You've debunked nothing.
And I wish people would stop putting words in my mouth in order to try and debunk me. I never stated we've had most of our games on the P12 Network. I've said we survived the P12 Network, and we'll survive any PAC that may come our way. And I doubt any new contract is going to be significantly worse than having over 45% of our football and basketball games on the P12 Network.
Look if there's a way out of that GOR, Clemson/FSU can afford to pay for it.
As for the P12 Network stuff, yeah we weren't great at football, so we were on the P12 Network a lot, now imagine a TV deal that is Amazon on Friday nights and one ESPN late night game and then the rest goes to Pac 12 Network streaming hell. How many games do you think last year's Arizona team would've been on national linear television? It would've been way less than 5. Also 13 out of 31 basketball games is less than 50%, which last I checked is less than a majority genius. It'll be 14 out of 32 on Thursday, and if we make it to the title game it'll be 14 out of 34. Hey....that's the majority of our games not on Pac 12 Network even if you add the football games. You don't have an argument. You have empty shallow words that don't form complete thoughts, because you have nothing. The entire Pac 12 Network argument is our situation for Tier 3 games will improve, which is good, but our situation with our Tier 1 and 2 games will be exponentially worse, so it doesn't even out. It's a dumb argument that only people on your side of the aisle are making, because you don't even know what's smart or dumb in regards to conference alignment.
I've seen JessieWildcat posts in the past and I'd rather converse with him on this topic than you. Stop posting already.
Reporting live from Cloud Cuckoo Land I can confirm it’s still raining delusion and lunacy.AzCatFan2 wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 8:39 am The BIG12 isn't an improvement over the PAC12. Maybe short term, depending on where the PAC contract lands. But long term, the PAC has better prospects, including a potential merge with the ACC.
If a game is broadcast in Cloud Cuckoo Land and no one watches it does it make a digital sound?CardiacCats97 wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 9:06 amReporting live from Cloud Cuckoo Land I can confirm it’s still raining delusion and lunacy.AzCatFan2 wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 8:39 am The BIG12 isn't an improvement over the PAC12. Maybe short term, depending on where the PAC contract lands. But long term, the PAC has better prospects, including a potential merge with the ACC.
ChooChooCat wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 6:10 am I've seen JessieWildcat posts in the past and I'd rather converse with him on this topic than you. Stop posting already.
It sounds like a long low wet fart, but don’t worry because in five years we could be in the SEC or we could all be dead.dovecanyoncat wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 9:09 amIf a game is broadcast in Cloud Cuckoo Land and no one watches it does it make a digital sound?CardiacCats97 wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 9:06 amReporting live from Cloud Cuckoo Land I can confirm it’s still raining delusion and lunacy.AzCatFan2 wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 8:39 am The BIG12 isn't an improvement over the PAC12. Maybe short term, depending on where the PAC contract lands. But long term, the PAC has better prospects, including a potential merge with the ACC.
The LA schools just joined the B1G, so apparently they're now midwest flyover schools. These are the rules apparently. As if Arizona's student body would change due to what teams Arizona plays in sports. Some of these arguments are so asinine it hurts my head.
And then we’ll probably re-up for another 3 because we just love compounding our mistakes.ChooChooCat wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:37 pm We’re probably going to stay in this conference on a 3 year deal. May be the biggest most colossal and damaging waste of time we could ever possibly sign up for.
By then Oregon and UW a will get their B1G invites and we will have wasted another 3 years to just hope the Big 12 would still take us. In the meantime Gonzaga will have been in the Big 12 for 4-5 years and will be ahead of us on the totem pole.CardiacCats97 wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:45 pmAnd then we’ll probably re-up for another 3 because we just love compounding our mistakes.ChooChooCat wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:37 pm We’re probably going to stay in this conference on a 3 year deal. May be the biggest most colossal and damaging waste of time we could ever possibly sign up for.
CardiacCats97 wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:45 pmAnd then we’ll probably re-up for another 3 because we just love compounding our mistakes.ChooChooCat wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:37 pm We’re probably going to stay in this conference on a 3 year deal. May be the biggest most colossal and damaging waste of time we could ever possibly sign up for.