Re: 2025 Recruit/Commitment Thread
Posted: Sat Jun 22, 2024 5:53 pm
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It means there are 4 commitments coming.
Exactly!!Fishclamps wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2024 8:00 pm I think it was more of a shocked at results "wut" not a confused one
https://www.ncsasports.org/articles-1/f ... g-rankingsFishclamps wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 12:04 am Does football work the same way as basketball with stars? Like only the top 100 get to be 5 stars, then a set amount of 4s?
College football recruiting rankings
The first step that football recruiting rankings sites take is awarding star ratings to players. They are rated at either two stars, three stars, four stars or five stars. For unknown reasons, no one-star ratings are revealed. Each of the football recruiting rankings news sites have their own formulas and opinions that are used when disseminating these star rankings, but the general idea behind how they are done is similar for all. With that said, many view that the most useful and informative are the composite rankings that 247 sports put out.
A five-star prospect is deemed to be amongst the top 30 players nationally, ones that are expected to immediately contribute as freshmen regardless of where they sign. That puts them in the top 0.01% of that recruiting class. They are also deemed to have the potential to post some incredible college football stats, be named first team All-American and ultimately be drafted in the first round of the NFL draft after their college careers have ended.
Four-star prospects comprise the rest of the top 300 or so players nationally. They are also expected to provide an immediate impact on their college teams and have potential for All-American status and professional careers, just not quite as likely as is expected to be the case for five-star prospects.
Those who have been rated at three stars by football recruiting rankings websites are generally viewed as expecting to be in the top 10% of incoming college players and are generally thought of being in the nation’s top 800 or so recruits. They are viewed as having the potential to be one of the best players in their region or in their conference. Pro potential is there as well.
Two-star players may not have much of an impact on top college rosters, but by even being on FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) or FCS (Football Championship Subdivision) squads, they have proven themselves to be in the top 1% of high school players. Also, these players do sometimes surprise and become impact players at those schools. They also have more potential to be quality fits for FCS schools as well as the potential to be star players at NCAA Division II or III colleges or at NAIA schools.
Seems like we're getting some solid guys, but this class is a ways away from being special. Ratings matter and we need some 4 stars sprinkled in to make this a very good class.FreeSpiritCat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 12:37 pm Is anyone else dreaming just how good this class is going to be if they stick together? There is no doubt this has a lot to due with the quality of the coaching staff and the culture. The coaching staff knows how to evaluate talent and how the recruits fit into the scheme. Our coaching staff is severely underrated.
Scheer put in a crystal ball for Gianni Edwards (CB for the UA)FreeSpiritCat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 2:21 pm We have a 4th commit today. You can see it is a CB. But the name hasn't gone public yet.
I don’t know that we have a top-500 guy yet.Carcassdragger wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 2:48 pmSeems like we're getting some solid guys, but this class is a ways away from being special. Ratings matter and we need some 4 stars sprinkled in to make this a very good class.FreeSpiritCat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 12:37 pm Is anyone else dreaming just how good this class is going to be if they stick together? There is no doubt this has a lot to due with the quality of the coaching staff and the culture. The coaching staff knows how to evaluate talent and how the recruits fit into the scheme. Our coaching staff is severely underrated.
Then we need a good season this year, and they will come.Chicat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 3:23 pmI don’t know that we have a top-500 guy yet.Carcassdragger wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 2:48 pmSeems like we're getting some solid guys, but this class is a ways away from being special. Ratings matter and we need some 4 stars sprinkled in to make this a very good class.FreeSpiritCat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 12:37 pm Is anyone else dreaming just how good this class is going to be if they stick together? There is no doubt this has a lot to due with the quality of the coaching staff and the culture. The coaching staff knows how to evaluate talent and how the recruits fit into the scheme. Our coaching staff is severely underrated.
Solid is great, but we need those next-level playmakers too.
This was new information to me - I don't pay much attention to FB recruiting, normally. Not sure if it's new to any of you more dedicated FB posters.Chicat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 3:23 pmI don’t know that we have a top-500 guy yet.Carcassdragger wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 2:48 pmSeems like we're getting some solid guys, but this class is a ways away from being special. Ratings matter and we need some 4 stars sprinkled in to make this a very good class.FreeSpiritCat wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2024 12:37 pm Is anyone else dreaming just how good this class is going to be if they stick together? There is no doubt this has a lot to due with the quality of the coaching staff and the culture. The coaching staff knows how to evaluate talent and how the recruits fit into the scheme. Our coaching staff is severely underrated.
Solid is great, but we need those next-level playmakers too.
Blue-Chip Ratio 2024: These 16 college football teams can actually win the national championship
Breaking down the programs that have done well enough on the recruiting trail to win the first 12-team CFP in the 2024 season
By Bud Elliott
Which schools have recruited well enough to emerge as national champion in the 2024 season? To determine this, it's essential to understand the level of talent required to clinch college football's biggest prize, according to recent standards.
I set out to answer this question over a decade ago by creating the Blue-Chip Ratio.
Since its inception in 2013, the Blue-Chip Ratio has been referenced by all major broadcast networks and closely monitored by head coaches and administrators. It is also being featured in the EA Sports College Football video game revival. Although it's not the most complex calculation, it's an excellent method for identifying the top 10% of teams that realistically have a shot at winning the title.
In simple terms: To win the national championship, college football teams need to sign more four- and five-star recruits (AKA "Blue Chips") than two- and three-star players over the previous four recruiting classes.
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Recruiting rankings are not perfect, but they are damn good, especially in the aggregate. Four- and five-star recruits are about 10 times more likely to be drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft than their two- and three-star counterparts. And five-stars are about 33 times more likely to be All-Americans as two-stars. For every two-star who becomes a big success, there are multiples who will be going pro in something other than sports. And they are getting better annually due to advancements in technology and data.
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How has this stat performed in the past?
2023: Michigan won it all with a 54% mark.
2022: Georgia took home the title in dominant fashion with a 77% ratio.
2021: Georgia had an 80% BCR and won it all, beating the No. 1 BCR team, Alabama, in the title game. Three of the four CFP teams were BCR teams; Cincinnati was the first party crasher since 2017.
2020: Alabama had an 83% BCR and won it all. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
2019: LSU won it with a 64% BCR. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
2018: Clemson took it home with a 68% mark. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.
2017: Alabama won it all with an incredible 80% mark.
2016: Clemson took home the title after signing 52% blue chips in the 2013-16 classes.
2015: Alabama had a 77% mark.
2014: Ohio State won the title with a 68%.
2013: Florida State was at 53%.
2012: Alabama was at 71%.
2011: 'Bama won the first of its back-to-back titles ... also with a 71% mark.
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Enough talk, show me the list
Ohio State - 90%
Alabama - 88%
Georgia - 80%
Texas A&M - 79%
Oregon - 76%
Oklahoma - 73%
Texas - 72%
LSU - 70%
Notre Dame - 67%
Clemson - 64%
Florida - 63%
Miami - 61%
Penn State - 61%
USC - 59%
Michigan - 56%
Auburn - 53%
* I expect Florida State (49%) to join the list next year.
* No other team is even two foreseeable recruiting classes away from crashing the party.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-footb ... D=42827574