Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
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- Reydituto
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Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Yes, it went chalk, but let's put that aside for a moment ...
First the odds, then the actual results:
(1) Kate Upton PICK'EM (8) Alyssa Milano Upton 34-24 10
(4) Charlize Theron -8 (5) Salma Hayek Theron 30-27 3
(3) Elisha Cuthbert -11.5 (6) Emmanuelle Chriqui Cuthbert 39-13 26
(2) Jessica Alba -9 (7) Kate Beckinsale Alba 33-18 15
So 3/4 higher seeds covered, as well as 2/3 favorites (since Upton-Milano was a Pick'em). Not a great job of handicapping the races, but not awful either, as the two heavy favorites ran away with their matches, and the the two closer races, for factors undiscovered or unexplained, remained closer.
Now, after much deliberation and numbers crunching, the Final Four odds:
(1) Upton -1 (4) Theron
(3) Cuthbert -5.5 (2) Alba
Upton-Theron is more of a gut call than relying on the math, maybe should be a Pick'em, but Upton is actually gaining momentum in total votes - 34 was her highest vote totals of the tournament - while Theron has lost momentum over the last two rounds and is showing serious vulnerability after a last minute escape over Salma and her Hayeks. A week ago, I'd probably have Theron favored by 6-7, as Upton remains the most polarizing team in the field with a loud and vocal anti-Upton minority wanting her to go home, but she keeps surviving and advancing. Still, no result would surprise me in this match, worthy of the title game.
More of a difficult read for me is Cuthbert-Alba. Both have barnstormed their way into the Final Four, both are #1-2 in average scoring margin (Cuthbert +30.75, Alba +24.25), and both have their consistently loyal and high followings less subject to that of the opposition (Cuthbert #1 in total votes, while Alba has higher total votes than Upton and less deviation in total votes than Theron). Hard to ignore Cuthbert's metrics (in several ways), but as Alba is the only remaining non-blonde, Cuthbert may be subject to what I can only term the "Hayek Phenomenon", as this match may be close throughout.
Remember, there are no losers here ...
First the odds, then the actual results:
(1) Kate Upton PICK'EM (8) Alyssa Milano Upton 34-24 10
(4) Charlize Theron -8 (5) Salma Hayek Theron 30-27 3
(3) Elisha Cuthbert -11.5 (6) Emmanuelle Chriqui Cuthbert 39-13 26
(2) Jessica Alba -9 (7) Kate Beckinsale Alba 33-18 15
So 3/4 higher seeds covered, as well as 2/3 favorites (since Upton-Milano was a Pick'em). Not a great job of handicapping the races, but not awful either, as the two heavy favorites ran away with their matches, and the the two closer races, for factors undiscovered or unexplained, remained closer.
Now, after much deliberation and numbers crunching, the Final Four odds:
(1) Upton -1 (4) Theron
(3) Cuthbert -5.5 (2) Alba
Upton-Theron is more of a gut call than relying on the math, maybe should be a Pick'em, but Upton is actually gaining momentum in total votes - 34 was her highest vote totals of the tournament - while Theron has lost momentum over the last two rounds and is showing serious vulnerability after a last minute escape over Salma and her Hayeks. A week ago, I'd probably have Theron favored by 6-7, as Upton remains the most polarizing team in the field with a loud and vocal anti-Upton minority wanting her to go home, but she keeps surviving and advancing. Still, no result would surprise me in this match, worthy of the title game.
More of a difficult read for me is Cuthbert-Alba. Both have barnstormed their way into the Final Four, both are #1-2 in average scoring margin (Cuthbert +30.75, Alba +24.25), and both have their consistently loyal and high followings less subject to that of the opposition (Cuthbert #1 in total votes, while Alba has higher total votes than Upton and less deviation in total votes than Theron). Hard to ignore Cuthbert's metrics (in several ways), but as Alba is the only remaining non-blonde, Cuthbert may be subject to what I can only term the "Hayek Phenomenon", as this match may be close throughout.
Remember, there are no losers here ...
But in my book, you gotta get to White Castle before the weirdos show up!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
- Reydituto
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Except for maybe azgreg, who apparently is incensed at backing the losing team in all four matchups to the point of throwing a GIF fit, taking his vote and going home ...Reydituto wrote:Remember, there are no losers here ...
But in my book, you gotta get to White Castle before the weirdos show up!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Cuthbert will win the whole thing. I went with her on the money line Rey at 9-2. Upton was 5-2 while Alba was 3-1 followed by Charlize at 4-1
Last edited by azcat49 on Mon Dec 29, 2014 9:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Waiting at the Rose Bowl patiently for the cats to arrive
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2019 BDW Survivor Pool Champion
"I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more wildcat sports"
2019 BDW Survivor Pool Champion
- 77HoyaCat4Ever
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Alba and Theron are the two hottest remaining.
Fact.
Fact.
Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I agree with the old man, which means both will lose.77HoyaCat4Ever wrote:Alba and Theron are the two hottest remaining.
Fact.
I think both are equipped to stand up under the hotter lights of the Final Four. Their strengths are more evenly distributed throughout their body of work. Their resumes and paths to the final reveal an ability to deal with adversity, not to mention perversity.
It's time to let the talent play! Tits and blond hair are not talent. They may not even be real. Cuthbert is 5-2. That's an imp, not a woman. Plus, she's Canadian! Upton is couldn't spell "SI" if you spotted her the "S" and the "I." Do you really want an all-blonde final? Do you want to be THAT cliche?
Vote for non-blonde Americans! And one South African. Then back to the American!
One shining moment ...
Right where I want to be.
Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I was just backing the underdogs man.Reydituto wrote:Except for maybe azgreg, who apparently is incensed at backing the losing team in all four matchups to the point of throwing a GIF fit, taking his vote and going home ...Reydituto wrote:Remember, there are no losers here ...
Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I agree. If you're talking about classical beauty on a 1-10 scale I would consider both Alba and Theron 9s while I think I would give both Upton and Cuthbert 8s.77HoyaCat4Ever wrote:Alba and Theron are the two hottest remaining.
Fact.
- 77HoyaCat4Ever
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I would point out that I am not much older than Gumby and I have excellent taste in women.
I would Travel with Charlize
or roll with Celestial Alba
I would Travel with Charlize
or roll with Celestial Alba
- JMarkJohns
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Cuthbert might be underappreciated as #3 overall.
She has classic beauty and can be drop-dead sexy.
She has classic beauty and can be drop-dead sexy.
- Longhorned
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I will fight for/stick with Upton until the final vote. I wasn't voting for her early on, but her competition has gotten weaker the further she advances.
- CalStateTempe
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
cuthbert.
Sloppy seconds and all.
Sloppy seconds and all.
- PieceOfMeat
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I'm sticking with my pick of Theron over Alba to win it all.
It's long past time to bring this back to the court, let's do it with a small update:
- Reydituto
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Technically, that's an opinion.77HoyaCat4Ever wrote:Alba and Theron are the two hottest remaining.
Fact.
Upton's tits are real, and they are spectacular, for now ...gumby wrote:Tits and blond hair are not talent. They may not even be real.
But in my book, you gotta get to White Castle before the weirdos show up!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
Tonight he gets Happy-Go-Jackie on the big white guy like a donkey eating a waffle!
Sweet Sassy Molassey, get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!
- 77HoyaCat4Ever
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
Technically, that's an opinion.Reydituto wrote:77HoyaCat4Ever wrote:Alba and Theron are the two hottest remaining.
Fact.
- JMarkJohns
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
This is happening tomorrow.
Week following we'll start up the new batch of polls.
Week following we'll start up the new batch of polls.
- CalStateTempe
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I can't believe I am going to propose to following for the next hot or not poll and tourney, give my posting history on the other site and how I routinely would take a dig at this annoying person any chance I could get.
I want Taylor Swift, of the 2014-2015 vintage. Legs of daaaaaaaaayyyyyyysssss.
She and her latest anthem for all slam-pigs, Blank Spaces, gets my heart racing. She finally captured and/or is embracing her sexiness as a marketing tool.
If we are playing M/F/K, she'd be the F prior to the K. Marriage to her would be a death sentence. But currently, she is yummy.
I want Taylor Swift, of the 2014-2015 vintage. Legs of daaaaaaaaayyyyyyysssss.
She and her latest anthem for all slam-pigs, Blank Spaces, gets my heart racing. She finally captured and/or is embracing her sexiness as a marketing tool.
If we are playing M/F/K, she'd be the F prior to the K. Marriage to her would be a death sentence. But currently, she is yummy.
- 77HoyaCat4Ever
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Re: Hot/Not: The Final Four Odds
I'd rather screw a telephone pole than Taylor Swift