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Team over/under predictions

Posted: Thu Aug 04, 2016 8:05 pm
by azpenguin
Let's talk about over/unders for AZ. New defense, hopefully healthy offense. I'll post some over/under numbers with last year's in parenthesis. What say ye about these?

Offense:
Points per game - 39 (Last year 37.4)
Yards per game - 500 (494.9)
Passing YPG - 300 (272.9)
Rushing YPG - 200 (222)
Touchdowns - 65 (62)
Passing TD - 30 (27)
Rushing TD - 35 (31)

Defense -
Points per game allowed - 31 (35.8)
Yards per game allowed - 440 (467.8)
Passing YPG - 220 (268.2)
Rushing YPG - 220 (199.6)
TD allowed - 55 (60)
Passing TD allowed - 25 (28)
Rushing TD allowed - 30 (30)
Interceptions - 15 (11)
Sacks - 35 (27)

Basically - I expect the offense to finish some more drives, and to be a little less run heavy and more pass efficient. If Solomon ends up missing significant time like he did last year, Dawkins, unlike Randall, is capable of reliably throwing the ball well and while he can run, won't be so fast to take off. I expect a decent improvement on the passing side of the defense due to a more aggressive approach, with more of a pass rush and better coaching in the secondary. I think they'll still be beat up on the ground some, especially facing guys like McCaffrey. I think the biggest improvement we'll see on defense is on third and long, which, if that comes to fruition, means that 1. opponent passing yards go down and 2. they'll get off the field in situations where they should have but couldn't last year.