Official Bracketology Thread

[97cats]

and, ECC - 12 of the top 13 play tomorrow

it will all pretty much be settled tomorrow while teams slug it out and AZ gets the Buffs.

i know im a broken record, but things have and continue to break just perfectly for Lloyd this first season.

im done saying its not possible with him until he proves it to me that him failing is possible.

big boss position to be in - fucking Genius

[TheCat]

2022 Murray State = 2018 Buffalo

Exactly.

[azgreg]

Gonzaga and Arizona have separated at the top of the seed list, nearly clinching N°1 seeds prior to their respective conference tournaments

There is a certain poster here who has been screaming this exact same thing for a while now....

dmjcat?

[EastCoastCat]

and, ECC - 12 of the top 13 play tomorrow

it will all pretty much be settled tomorrow while teams slug it out and AZ gets the Buffs.

i know im a broken record, but things have and continue to break just perfectly for Lloyd this first season.

im done saying its not possible with him until he proves it to me that him failing is possible.

big boss position to be in - fucking Genius

[U.P. Zona Fan]

Bracket matrix now has Arizona as the #1 one seed.

[RondaeShimmy]

Bracket matrix now has Arizona as the #1 one seed.

Technically tied with Gonzaga for 1st place

[Olsondogg]

Bracket matrix now has Arizona as the #1 one seed.

As of 2 days ago

With the latest updates from most of the brackets, the matrix puts Arizona as the top overall seed as of today.

Which is completely awesome and amazing to be considering how we all felt in mid April.

[Beachcat97]

Bracket matrix now has Arizona as the #1 one seed.

Technically tied with Gonzaga for 1st place

Yeah. Ain't nobody passing Gonzaga. That's your top overall seed, folks.

[97cats]

Yeah. Ain't nobody passing Gonzaga. That's your top overall seed, folks.

actually on the off chance it happens, and i dont think it will, but another tendency ive pointed out is Gonzaga's propensity to lose or drop a late season game to a worthy opponent after multi-month long and easy win streak piles up against poor conf competition. late season losses to BYU a few times and another team that i am forgetting but it has happened.

if they lose to a capable St Mary's team tonight and AZ holds serve in Boulder, the Cats would have the inside track on the number one overall seed still needing, imo, to win out in the reg season thus making the conf tournament inconsequential, which it pretty much already is as of today anyway.

long shot i know but dont totally discount it. but, if Gonzaga wins tonight (as expected) then the rest of the way doesnt matter, they are number one seed overall regardless, imo.

small sliver of hope i know but fun nonetheless.

[Beachcat97]

Yeah. Ain't nobody passing Gonzaga. That's your top overall seed, folks.

actually on the off chance it happens, and i dont think it will, but another tendency ive pointed out is Gonzaga's propensity to lose or drop a late season game to a worthy opponent after multi-month long and easy win streak piles up against poor conf competition. late season losses to BYU a few times and another team that i am forgetting but it has happened.

if they lose to a capable St Mary's team tonight and AZ holds serve in Boulder, the Cats would have the inside track on the number one overall seed still needing, imo, to win out in the reg season thus making the conf tournament inconsequential, which it pretty much already is as of today anyway.

long shot i know but dont totally discount it. but, if Gonzaga wins tonight (as expected) then the rest of the way doesnt matter, they are number one seed overall regardless, imo.

small sliver of hope i know but fun nonetheless.

This is an interesting (and not entirely far-fetched) scenario, 97. Let's see what happens with Gonzaga today.

Another thought: if Gonzaga does lose, and win out, is there any chance Tommy pumps the brakes a little in the Pac tourney, maybe resting our guys who've had injuries (Tubelis, Kriisa)? Or is it pedal to the metal from here on out?

I think you're right that a Gonzaga loss + us winning out = #1 overall seed regardless of what happens in the Pac tourney.

[97cats]

i think the number one overall seed will be decided today - if Gonzaga wins conf tournament means nothing - Zags would lock #1 overall seed.

if Gonzaga falls to St Mary's AZ would have to win out (reg season only) and they would be #1 overall seed

small chance but alas here we are so close to selection sunday not much will change anymore.

[U.P. Zona Fan]

I feel like this could be our toughest game on the schedule including pac 12 tourney, we lose in boulder a lot it feels like. Even when Colorado isn't that great,they've had flashes this year.

Hope we get this one.

[RondaeShimmy]

Another thought: if Gonzaga does lose, and win out, is there any chance Tommy pumps the brakes a little in the Pac tourney, maybe resting our guys who've had injuries (Tubelis, Kriisa)? Or is it pedal to the metal from here on out?

Hell yeah we should lose there, pretty much every recent Natty champ has lost in the conference tournament.

Arizona is currently on a 9 game win streak.... The last several national champions win streaks to win the 'chip...

2021 Baylor -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2019 Virginia -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2018 Villanova -- 11
2017 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2016 Villanova -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2015 Duke -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2014 UConn -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2013 Louisville -- 16
2012 Kentucky -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2011 UConn -- 11 (all tournament wins)
2010 Duke -- 10
2009 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2008 Kansas -- 13
2007 Florida -- 10
2006 Florida -- 11
2005 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)

Really in modern college basketball ('12 is the start of this era imo), championship teams get their loss out of the way in the conference tournament

It isn't worth the extreme energy exhausted there to get something not as important when they're already likely have the 1 seed on lock

[97cats]

lost four in a row at Colorado

last victory (2/26/2015) an AZ 82-54 blowout

[Chicat]

Fatty Battey not gonna win today.

[EastCoastCat]

I would love to see a Rocky Mountain Big Balls dance.

[Beachcat97]

Another thought: if Gonzaga does lose, and win out, is there any chance Tommy pumps the brakes a little in the Pac tourney, maybe resting our guys who've had injuries (Tubelis, Kriisa)? Or is it pedal to the metal from here on out?

Hell yeah we should lose there, pretty much every recent Natty champ has lost in the conference tournament.

Arizona is currently on a 9 game win streak.... The last several national champions win streaks to win the 'chip...

2021 Baylor -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2019 Virginia -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2018 Villanova -- 11
2017 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2016 Villanova -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2015 Duke -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2014 UConn -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2013 Louisville -- 16
2012 Kentucky -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2011 UConn -- 11 (all tournament wins)
2010 Duke -- 10
2009 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)
2008 Kansas -- 13
2007 Florida -- 10
2006 Florida -- 11
2005 North Carolina -- 6 (conference tournament loss)

Really in modern college basketball ('12 is the start of this era imo), championship teams get their loss out of the way in the conference tournament

It isn't worth the extreme energy exhausted there to get something not as important when they're already likely have the 1 seed on lock

As much as I love the idea of winning out, if we had to take one more loss, I'd rather it come today than @USC.

[dovecanyoncat]

Hard to believe it's been 7 years.

[97cats]

Hard to believe it's been 7 years.

it actually makes me want to vomit

[EastCoastCat]

Don’t I recall their fan base suggest they were the new top program in the conference with whiny Taddy?

I want to boat race these guys tonight.

[TheCat]

Fatty Battey not gonna win today.

Today is SR. day and they will be sky high after losing to ASU.

[Beachcat97]

So Purdue's loss today jeopardizes their chances for a 1 seed.

Other key games today (as 97 has dutifully been tracking): Baylor/Kansas and Auburn/Tennessee

A Kansas win has them on the inside track for a #1, and an Auburn win virtually guarantees they'll be a 1.

If either loses, the door remains ajar for Kentucky and Duke, and yes, I see that Kentucky is down to Arkansas at the moment.

[azcat49]

Talk of who our #2 might be and I think they all would be tough. I worry more about 8-9 match up being a team like Murray St or maybe a Memphis or North Carolina.

Past that is the sweet 16 a 4-5 like Arkansas or Alabama or even an Ohio St would concern me

[Chicat]

[jsbowl16]

It surprises me that AZ having possibly four more wins than Gonzaga and the same amount of losses in a power 5 conference at the end of the season doesn't hold enough weight to get the overall one seed.

[97cats]

It surprises me that AZ having possibly four more wins than Gonzaga and the same amount of losses in a power 5 conference at the end of the season doesn't hold enough weight to get the overall one seed.

its a very interesting question and begs the notion if the committee would weight AZ if they win the next seven games, i still think Gonzaga would have to lose but its worth noting.

32-2 - reg season (by multiple games) and conf tournament champs in a pwr 5 cant be ignored.

[Alieberman]

Teams across the country ensuring AZ get's it's #1 seed.

Just as some were predicting.

Math.....

[Beachcat97]

Teams across the country ensuring AZ get's it's #1 seed.

Just as some were predicting.

Math.....

Just beat Colorado, and we're all good, even if it's a close game.

I'm really hoping to avoid the chorus of naysayers sure to follow a loss today.

[97cats]

teams left with legitimate chance at #1 Seed heading into late afternoon action (in order) - 2.26.22

lock

Gonzaga
Arizona

drivers seat

Kansas

in contention

Kentucky
Baylor
Duke
Auburn
Texas Tech

------cutline - cutline - cutline - cutline-------

Purdue
Tennessee
Wisconsin
Villanova
Illinois
Arkansas
Houston
Texas
UCLA
Ohio State
UCONN
Providence
Southern California
Alabama

[Alieberman]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

[97cats]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

at this rate because of the bloodshed today, i believe Gonzaga could lose their last two in a row and still be a #1 seed.

[Beachcat97]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

at this rate because of the bloodshed today, i believe Gonzaga could lose their last two in a row and still be a #1 seed.

The more interesting question, of course: how many more could we lose and do the same?

[EastCoastCat]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

at this rate because of the bloodshed today, i believe Gonzaga could lose their last two in a row and still be a #1 seed.

The more interesting question, of course: how many more could we lose and do the same?

If we win tonight the same scenario.

[Longhorned]

What if Gozaga loses pantless and airborne?

[97cats]

AZ now could lose two of four down the stretch and still have a number one seed - if they lost more than 2 the rest of the way they would move down

27-4 is the magic record

look familiar, Beach???

[Beachcat97]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

at this rate because of the bloodshed today, i believe Gonzaga could lose their last two in a row and still be a #1 seed.

The more interesting question, of course: how many more could we lose and do the same?

If we win tonight the same scenario.

So you're saying there's a #1 seed on the line tonight. Not in the sense that if we lose, we're suddenly a 2 seed. But that if we win, it's going to be impossible not to earn a 1.

[Chicat]

AZ now could lose two of four down the stretch and still have a number one seed - if they lost more than 2 the rest of the way they would move down

27-4 is the magic record

look familiar, Beach???

“Please show me the Quantum Physics equation in Einstein’s calculations that proves without a doubt that Arizona is a 1-seed.”

- dmjcat

[Alieberman]

It’s not hard to figure out

Committee said that Auburn and AZ were basically tied last Saturday in the reveal.

Since then Auburn has lost 2 games AND are still in position to grab a #1 seed

Math

[97cats]

AZ now could lose two of four down the stretch and still have a number one seed - if they lost more than 2 the rest of the way they would move down

27-4 is the magic record

look familiar, Beach???

“Please show me the Quantum Physics equation in Einstein’s calculations that proves without a doubt that Arizona is a 1-seed.”

- dmjcat

submitted to evidence - Jan 18 this was introduced into the conversation

Arizona would have to be north of four losses to be supplanted from the two line and be on the outside in on the top 8 overall - i dont see that happening (as i mentioned barring a major collapse which i would call such with a potential 15games remaining).

so yes, i agree, if Arizona shits the bed down the stretch they will not be on the two line - however that would be in direct conflict to how they have performed up to this point in the season.

but that's why they play the games!!

and, even if Arizona slides out of the top 8, they most likely will still be in Duke or Gonzaga's region.

[Beachcat97]

look familiar, Beach???

This is what I predicted after we beat Michigan:

vs SAC
vs WASH
@ ORST
vs WYO
@ 14 ILL
vs UNCO
vs CBU
@ 15 TENN
@ 2 UCLA
@ 24 USC
@ ASU
vs COLO
vs UTAH
@ STAN
@ CAL
vs ASU
vs 2 UCLA
vs 24 USC
@ WSU
@ WASH
vs ORST
vs ORE
@ UTAH
@ COLO
vs STAN
vs CAL
[/quote]

[EastCoastCat]

I agree 100% with this list.

The funny thing is: The cut line keeps dropping, as AZ keeps rising. Major separation now....

at this rate because of the bloodshed today, i believe Gonzaga could lose their last two in a row and still be a #1 seed.

The more interesting question, of course: how many more could we lose and do the same?

If we win tonight the same scenario.

So you're saying there's a #1 seed on the line tonight. Not in the sense that if we lose, we're suddenly a 2 seed. But that if we win, it's going to be impossible not to earn a 1.

Correct.

[Alieberman]

At least no one is going to pass us!

Winning on the road ain't easy

[ASUHATER!]

2 seed looming now with any more losses.

[dmjcat]

2 seed looming now with any more losses.

Agree. Fortunately Kansas lost tonight

Unfortunately, losing to Baylor is about .0001% as bad as losing to Colorado.

[Chicat]

Good thing everyone else lost.

[RichardCranium]

Monday's number 1 seed rankings:

1) Gonzaga (unless they lose too)
2) Duke
3) Kansas
4) Kentucky

[dmjcat]

Good thing everyone else lost.

Yes, but unfortunately losing to Colorado is about 100x worse than losing to Baylor/Tennessee/Arkansas

[dovecanyoncat]

In all of life's battles with hated opponents, it's more important that you lose than I win.

[Alieberman]

Craziest day ever?

[AZCatGirl]

Craziest day ever?

Unless there's been another day where the top 6 teams all lost, yes.